Sun, Mar 16, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver
Dallas Stars 3, Colorado Avalanche 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 69% of the time.
60%
8%
24%
COL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:39 | 0.05 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:46 | 0.14 | 51.6% | +33.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.03 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:00 | 0.04 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.11 | 59.7% | +9.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.31 | 56.3% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.00 | 64.8% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.41 | 53.4% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.12 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:45 | 0.35 | 60.8% | +33.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.04 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.14 | 63.8% | +33.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.04 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:46 | 0.26 | 65.9% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.25 | 66.5% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:57 | 0.03 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.00 | 21.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.49 | −0.5 | 60:34 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:51 | 0.03 | 47.4% | +17.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 23:51 | 0.24 | 80.6% | +82.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:20 | 0.32 | 42.0% | +46.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 20:48 | 0.51 | 35.5% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.40 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:28 | 0.02 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:33 | 0.68 | 57.5% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 54.1% | +46.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:44 | 0.24 | 44.8% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:18 | 0.12 | 34.9% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.03 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.25 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.11 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.06 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.16 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:01 | 0.31 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.33 | −0.7 | 60:34 |