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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 16, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Florida Panthers 2, New York Islanders 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 64% of the time.

NYI winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:06Shot by Pageau, saved by Vanecek
  3. P1 3:59Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vanecek
  4. P1 5:57Shot by Lee, saved by Vanecek
  5. P1 7:52Shot by Romanov, saved by Vanecek
  6. P1 8:16Luostarinen: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Romanov, MacLean, Gatcomb, Tsyplakov · FLA Kulikov, Mikkola, Boqvist, Luostarinen, Lundell

  7. P1 8:30Shot by Horvat, saved by Vanecek5v4
  8. P1 9:33Shot by Mikkola, saved by Sorokin5v4
  9. P1 10:59Shot by Engvall, saved by Vanecek
  10. P1 11:32Shot by Horvat, saved by Vanecek
  11. P1 12:17Shot by MacLean, saved by Vanecek
  12. P1 14:54Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Vanecek
  13. P1 15:09Shot by Mayfield, saved by Vanecek
  14. P1 15:19Shot by Reilly, saved by Vanecek
  15. P1 17:23Shot by Pageau, saved by Vanecek
  16. P1 17:26Kulikov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Reilly, Horvat, Dobson · FLA Kulikov, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Mikkola, Samoskevich

  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:34Shot by Fasching, saved by Vanecek
  20. P2 0:38Shot by Engvall, saved by Vanecek
  21. P2 0:57Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sorokin
  22. P2 1:00Goal by Reinhart (Barkov, Forsling)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Fasching, DeAngelo, Engvall, Romanov · FLA Schmidt, Barkov, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues

  23. P2 2:29Shot by Pulock, saved by Vanecek
  24. P2 2:49MacLean: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI DeAngelo, Romanov, MacLean, Gatcomb, Tsyplakov · FLA Forsling, Greer, Gadjovich, Sturm, Balinskis

  25. P2 2:54Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Sorokin4v5
  26. P2 4:22Shot by Jones, saved by Sorokin4v5
  27. P2 4:32Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vanecek4v5
  28. P2 4:48Goal by Barkov (Reinhart, Luostarinen)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Dobson, Romanov, Holmstrom · FLA Schmidt, Barkov, Reinhart, Luostarinen, Samoskevich

  29. P2 7:15Shot by Horvat, saved by Vanecek
  30. P2 8:26Shot by Boqvist, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 8:45Shot by Romanov, saved by Vanecek
  32. P2 10:07Shot by Dobson, saved by Vanecek
  33. P2 10:47Shot by Romanov, saved by Vanecek
  34. P2 11:56Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 12:07Shot by Engvall, saved by Vanecek
  36. P2 17:23Shot by MacLean, saved by Vanecek
  37. P2 18:03Shot by Jones, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 18:44Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 19:47Gatcomb: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Reilly, Duclair, DeAngelo · FLA Forsling, Boqvist, Luostarinen, Lundell, Balinskis

  40. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:22Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Sorokin4v5
  43. P3 1:32Shot by Pageau, saved by Vanecek4v5
  44. P3 1:38Shot by Mayfield, saved by Vanecek4v5
  45. P3 2:48Schmidt: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Horvat, Pulock, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · FLA Schmidt, Greer, Gadjovich, Sturm, Balinskis

  46. P3 4:21Shot by Dobson, saved by Vanecek5v4
  47. P3 4:44Shot by Mikkola, saved by Sorokin5v4
  48. P3 5:46Shot by Cizikas, saved by Vanecek
  49. P3 6:26Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Vanecek
  50. P3 6:29Goal by Gatcomb (DeAngelo, Engvall)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI DeAngelo, Engvall, Romanov, MacLean, Gatcomb · FLA Jones, Reinhart, Bennett, Forsling, Rodrigues

  51. P3 6:49Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sorokin
  52. P3 7:40Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Vanecek
  53. P3 7:49Shot by Lundell, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 10:51Shot by Romanov, saved by Vanecek
  55. P3 11:14Shot by Boqvist, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 12:16Goal by Tsyplakov (Reilly, DeAngelo)+37 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Reilly, DeAngelo, MacLean, Gatcomb, Tsyplakov · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Forsling, Mikkola, Samoskevich

  57. P3 12:33Goal by Dobson (Lee)+32 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Duclair, Pulock, Dobson · FLA Barkov, Jones, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Balinskis

  58. P3 12:37Shot by Dobson, saved by Vanecek
  59. P3 16:57Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 18:26Shot by Barkov, saved by Sorokin5v6
  61. P3 18:40Shot by Bennett, saved by Sorokin5v6
  62. P3 19:19Shot by Bennett, saved by Sorokin5v6
  63. P3 19:20Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sorokin5v6
  64. P3 19:21Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sorokin5v6
  65. P3 19:22Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sorokin5v6
  66. P3 19:39Shot by Barkov, saved by Sorokin5v6
  67. P3 19:42Shot by Bennett, saved by Sorokin5v6
  68. P3 19:53Goal by Holmstrom (Pageau)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov, Holmstrom · FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Jones, Reinhart, Bennett, Samoskevich

  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final