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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 16, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Florida Panthers 2, New York Islanders 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 64% of the time.

NYI winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Verhaeghe–Bennett–SamoskevichBoqvist–Luostarinen–LundellBarkov–Reinhart–RodriguesGreer–Gadjovich–SturmVerhaeghe–Boqvist–LundellVerhaeghe–Barkov–ReinhartJones–ForslingSchmidt–BalinskisSchmidt–MikkolaKulikov–MikkolaForsling–MikkolaForsling–BalinskisJones–BalinskisSchmidt–ForslingJones–MikkolaMikkola–BalinskisSchmidt–Jones
Palmieri–Horvat–Holmstrom1:190.00–0.074:160.01–0.171:570.02–0.213:120.14–0.001:560.09–0.011:250.10–0.001:310.00–0.061:200.00–0.001:100.09–0.161:290.00–0.170:410.00–0.002:220.06–0.07
Cizikas–Fasching–Engvall3:440.06–0.082:020.20–0.381:060.00–0.000:320.00–0.003:310.26–0.001:080.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:300.00–0.031:350.00–0.000:420.00–0.430:350.03–0.00
Lee–Pageau–Duclair3:240.20–0.042:170.15–0.002:000.04–0.001:110.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:380.00–0.001:280.15–0.041:410.01–0.000:370.00–0.000:470.19–0.000:540.03–0.00
MacLean–Gatcomb–Tsyplakov0:440.19–0.002:440.04–0.000:360.00–0.072:300.14–0.002:510.17–0.071:240.03–0.000:430.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:540.01–0.00
DeAngelo–Romanov4:270.14–0.143:350.03–0.081:570.18–0.381:200.03–0.003:100.32–0.001:350.08–0.002:390.03–0.141:220.00–0.031:080.07–0.001:130.00–0.001:140.00–0.430:380.03–0.000:520.03–0.00
Pulock–Dobson2:450.16–0.012:220.00–0.174:460.24–0.151:090.04–0.003:030.09–0.010:450.00–0.071:380.12–0.001:000.00–0.002:130.19–0.171:110.00–0.010:450.00–0.07
Reilly–Mayfield0:460.00–0.002:360.10–0.000:350.00–0.002:470.18–0.001:560.14–0.001:380.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:020.06–0.001:000.09–0.00
Pulock–Romanov1:170.00–0.041:120.03–0.000:350.00–0.04
Reilly–Dobson0:480.00–0.150:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:460.00–0.15
Reilly–Pulock0:390.00–0.000:360.03–0.00
Dobson–Romanov0:580.01–0.001:000.08–0.00
Pulock–DeAngelo
Mayfield–Dobson0:370.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Mayfield–Romanov0:550.10–0.000:550.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTsyplakov FGatcomb FMacLean FPalmieri FHolmstrom FHorvat FDuclair FPageau FLee FFasching FCizikas FEngvall FReilly DMayfield DPulock DDobson DDeAngelo DRomanov DSorokin GSturm FGreer FGadjovich FLundell FLuostarinen FBoqvist FSamoskevich FBennett FVerhaeghe FReinhart FBarkov FRodrigues FKulikov DMikkola DJones DForsling DBalinskis DSchmidt DVanecek G
NYIFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alexander RomanovNYI2526:241:032:2104
Seth JonesFLA2825:400:552:1043
Gustav ForslingFLA2725:170:561:4613
Tony DeAngeloNYI2723:420:532:1223
Kyle PalmieriNYI2022:461:082:2532
Bo HorvatNYI2122:251:042:1123
Noah DobsonNYI2621:580:511:3852
Niko MikkolaFLA2621:340:501:4212
Ryan PulockNYI2921:220:441:1425
Simon HolmstromNYI2320:400:542:1035
Sam ReinhartFLA2018:570:572:1552
Nate SchmidtFLA2418:420:471:3011
Mackie SamoskevichFLA2018:170:552:1140
Sam BennettFLA2117:400:502:1940
Aleksander BarkovFLA2017:320:532:1853
Uvis BalinskisFLA2317:100:451:2012
Carter VerhaegheFLA2017:020:512:0810
Anton LundellFLA2116:330:471:2312
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2216:170:441:4723
Anders LeeNYI1715:370:551:4420
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2215:060:411:3314
Jesper BoqvistFLA2114:530:431:2212
Mike ReillyNYI2414:230:361:0450
Casey CizikasNYI1713:210:471:1503
Hudson FaschingNYI1513:000:521:1802
Pierre EngvallNYI1612:410:481:1812
Nico SturmFLA1912:340:401:3503
Evan RodriguesFLA1512:280:501:1530
Anthony DuclairNYI1612:240:471:1320
Scott MayfieldNYI1812:190:411:1230
A.J. GreerFLA1510:410:431:2901
Jonah GadjovichFLA1410:020:431:2601
Marc GatcombNYI159:080:370:5520
Kyle MacLeanNYI148:580:381:0120
Maxim TsyplakovNYI148:380:371:0520
Dmitry KulikovFLA86:000:451:1201