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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 17, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Calgary Flames 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Away

Calgary Flames

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.

TOR winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Knies, saved by Wolf
  3. P1 1:35Shot by Robertson, saved by Wolf
  4. P1 1:38Shot by Robertson, saved by Wolf
  5. P1 1:44Shot by Benoit, saved by Wolf
  6. P1 1:47Goal by Domi (Benoit, Ekman-Larsson)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMann · CGY Hunt, Bean, Farabee, Sharangovich, Pachal

  7. P1 2:53Shot by Matthews, saved by Wolf
  8. P1 3:44Benoit: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Benoit, Robertson, McMann · CGY Lomberg, Rooney, Bean, Pachal, Klapka

  9. P1 3:47Shot by Frost, saved by Woll4v5
  10. P1 4:06Shot by Coronato, saved by Woll4v5
  11. P1 6:32Shot by Coronato, saved by Woll
  12. P1 8:37Shot by Weegar, saved by Woll
  13. P1 9:10Robertson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMann · CGY Coleman, Andersson, Frost, Bahl, Coronato

  14. P1 13:47Shot by Knies, saved by Wolf
  15. P1 13:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Wolf
  16. P1 13:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Wolf
  17. P1 15:33Shot by Holmberg, saved by Wolf
  18. P1 15:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Wolf
  19. P1 16:55Shot by Tanev, saved by Wolf
  20. P1 18:00Shot by Lomberg, saved by Woll
  21. P1 18:41Shot by Nylander, saved by Wolf
  22. P1 18:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Wolf
  23. P1 19:13Goal by Andersson (Huberdeau, Pospisil)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Benoit, Knies · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Andersson, Bahl, Pospisil

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:08Shot by Marner, saved by Wolf
  27. P2 0:09Kadri: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Hanley, Pospisil

  28. P2 0:29Shot by Nylander, saved by Wolf5v4
  29. P2 1:39Goal by Nylander (Marner, Matthews)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies · CGY Andersson, Farabee, Bahl, Sharangovich

  30. P2 1:53Robertson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Carlo, Robertson, McMann · CGY Coleman, Weegar, Hanley, Frost, Coronato

  31. P2 4:45Shot by Hanley, saved by Woll
  32. P2 5:49Shot by Bahl, saved by Woll
  33. P2 6:26Shot by Andersson, saved by Woll
  34. P2 6:47Shot by Andersson, saved by Woll
  35. P2 8:01Shot by Tavares, saved by Wolf
  36. P2 9:34Goal by Robertson (Domi, Ekman-Larsson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Carlo, Lorentz, Robertson · CGY Huberdeau, Bean, Frost, Pachal, Coronato

  37. P2 10:08Shot by Kadri, saved by Woll
  38. P2 10:30Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Woll
  39. P2 13:23Shot by Robertson, saved by Wolf
  40. P2 13:24Shot by McMann, saved by Wolf
  41. P2 14:46Coronato: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Holmberg · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Hanley, Pospisil

  42. P2 15:41Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Marner)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies · CGY Huberdeau, Andersson, Rooney, Bahl

  43. P2 16:45Shot by Farabee, saved by Woll
  44. P2 18:07Shot by Holmberg, saved by Wolf
  45. P2 18:09Pachal: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, Laughton, McCabe, Nylander, Holmberg · CGY Huberdeau, Bean, Frost, Pachal, Coronato

  46. P2 18:54Goal by Matthews (Knies, Nylander)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies · CGY Weegar, Hanley, Rooney, Farabee

  47. P2 19:00Shot by McCabe, saved by Wolf
  48. P2 19:09Shot by McCabe, saved by Wolf
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:20Shot by Weegar, saved by Woll
  52. P3 2:09Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Woll
  53. P3 3:03Goal by McMann (Rielly, Jarnkrok)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Domi, Marner, Matthews, McMann · CGY Andersson, Lomberg, Bahl, Sharangovich, Klapka

  54. P3 4:36Shot by Coleman, saved by Woll
  55. P3 6:02Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Woll
  56. P3 7:47Shot by Pachal, saved by Woll
  57. P3 12:14Shot by McMann, saved by Vladar
  58. P3 12:47Benoit: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Laughton, McCabe, Marner, Lorentz, Benoit · CGY Weegar, Hanley, Hunt, Frost, Farabee

  59. P3 12:47Benoit: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Laughton, McCabe, Marner, Lorentz, Benoit · CGY Weegar, Hanley, Hunt, Frost, Farabee

  60. P3 12:47Weegar: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Laughton, McCabe, Marner, Lorentz, Benoit · CGY Weegar, Hanley, Hunt, Frost, Farabee

  61. P3 14:45Shot by Farabee, saved by Woll4v5
  62. P3 14:51Shot by Klapka, saved by Woll
  63. P3 15:13Shot by Hunt, saved by Woll
  64. P3 15:58Shot by Rooney, saved by Woll
  65. P3 16:01Shot by Bahl, saved by Woll
  66. P3 16:12Shot by Pospisil, saved by Woll
  67. P3 18:20Shot by Rooney, saved by Woll
  68. P3 18:41Shot by Lorentz, saved by Vladar
  69. P3 19:12Goal by Bahl (Hunt, Sharangovich)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Jarnkrok, Laughton, Lorentz · CGY Hunt, Andersson, Farabee, Bahl, Sharangovich

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final