Mon, Mar 17, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.
49%
10%
8%
33%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 MacKenzie WeegarD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.05 | 25.6% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:44 | 0.15 | 62.3% | +14.8 |
 Matt CoronatoRW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.17 | 16.5% | 0.0 |
 Kevin BahlD · #7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.07 | 62.1% | 0.0 |
 Joel HanleyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.07 | 32.8% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.28 | 57.9% | 0.0 |
 Morgan FrostC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.19 | 17.1% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.03 | 52.8% | +14.8 |
 Joel FarabeeLW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.49 | 79.7% | 0.0 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.20 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
 Jake BeanD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.11 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:48 | 0.13 | 73.0% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PachalD · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.02 | 20.4% | 0.0 |
 Martin PospisilC · #76 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.19 | 52.4% | +14.8 |
 Dryden HuntLW · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.10 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
 Kevin RooneyC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:27 | 0.09 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
 Adam KlapkaRW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.17 | 48.9% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LombergLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.01 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
 Dustin Wolf#32 | L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 2.81 | −2.2 | 40:00 |
 Dan Vladar#80 | – | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 0.19 | −0.8 | 20:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:34 | 0.02 | 77.9% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.21 | 62.8% | +1.7 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 19:24 | 0.03 | 36.1% | +22.8 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:20 | 0.00 | 51.1% | +0.4 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:07 | 0.00 | 56.9% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.03 | 71.2% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 16:56 | 0.83 | 70.9% | +22.9 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.11 | 64.6% | +21.1 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.23 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.01 | 24.4% | +9.4 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15:49 | 0.55 | 51.8% | +22.9 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.09 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 41.1% | +0.4 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 13:31 | 0.29 | 57.9% | +0.4 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.02 | 55.6% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 12:27 | 0.27 | 52.2% | +13.3 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.08 | 66.9% | +22.8 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:05 | 0.23 | 63.2% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.51 | +0.5 | 59:56 |