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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 18, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 75% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Adam PelechD · #3000+1526:000.1773.1%0.0
Tony DeAngeloD · #4000+1124:050.0164.0%0.0
Noah DobsonD · #8112+2424:030.2251.3%+64.6
Ryan PulockD · #6000+2122:380.0349.3%0.0
Simon HolmstromRW · #10101+2320:380.8148.1%+7.1
Bo HorvatC · #14011+2319:270.3453.6%+26.1
Kyle PalmieriC · #21123+2218:570.3460.2%+46.6
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #440000017:570.2364.3%0.0
Hudson FaschingRW · #200110014:100.0051.9%+38.5
Anders LeeLW · #270000513:370.3768.4%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #181010313:000.1572.3%+38.5
Casey CizikasC · #530000113:000.1349.1%0.0
Anthony DuclairLW · #110000012:280.0086.1%0.0
Scott MayfieldD · #24000−1212:270.2058.6%0.0
Mike ReillyD · #2000−1410:540.1967.2%0.0
Kyle MacLeanC · #320000010:300.0055.9%0.0
Maxim TsyplakovRW · #70000310:280.2370.9%0.0
Marc GatcombC · #16000019:490.0346.4%0.0
Ilya Sorokin#30W21192.9051.970.059:52

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #580110121:340.0227.7%+10.3
Matt GrzelcykD · #24000−1021:260.0223.5%0.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #87101−2521:090.3147.4%+13.9
Bryan RustRW · #17000−2120:470.1547.4%0.0
Erik KarlssonD · #65000−2220:290.1421.9%0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #71000−2019:450.1229.7%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67000−2219:430.4945.5%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #200110219:260.0569.9%+13.9
Ryan GravesD · #270110219:000.0771.7%+13.9
Philip TomasinoRW · #53000−1117:430.1821.9%0.0
Connor DewarC · #19000−1015:520.1138.2%0.0
Vladislav KolyachonokD · #230110013:530.0122.2%+10.3
Joona KoppanenLW · #15101+1212:560.0832.4%+10.3
Noel AcciariC · #550000012:440.0524.8%0.0
Kevin HayesRW · #130000112:340.1073.3%0.0
Danton HeinenLW · #430000112:010.0130.2%0.0
Blake LizotteC · #460000011:370.0036.6%0.0
Bokondji ImamaLW · #14000+116:060.0668.9%0.0
Tristan Jarry#35L37343.9192.84−0.259:15