Tue, Mar 18, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
New York Islanders 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 75% of the time.
17%
68%
PIT winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 26:00 | 0.17 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:05 | 0.01 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:03 | 0.22 | 51.3% | +64.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.03 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.81 | 48.1% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.34 | 53.6% | +26.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.34 | 60.2% | +46.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:57 | 0.23 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:10 | 0.00 | 51.9% | +38.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:37 | 0.37 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:00 | 0.15 | 72.3% | +38.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.13 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:27 | 0.20 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 10:54 | 0.19 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:28 | 0.23 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:49 | 0.03 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.97 | 0.0 | 59:52 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:34 | 0.02 | 27.7% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:26 | 0.02 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:09 | 0.31 | 47.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.15 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.14 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:45 | 0.12 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:43 | 0.49 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.05 | 69.9% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.07 | 71.7% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.18 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.11 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.01 | 22.2% | +10.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.08 | 32.4% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.05 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.10 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.01 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 6:06 | 0.06 | 68.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 2.84 | −0.2 | 59:15 |