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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 18, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Away

New York Islanders

4

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 75% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:50Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Reilly, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 2:01Shot by Engvall, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 3:34Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 4:40Goal by Koppanen (Kolyachonok, Letang)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Hayes, Imama, Koppanen, Kolyachonok · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Fasching, DeAngelo, Engvall

  7. P1 5:01Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 5:09Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Jarry
  9. P1 6:00Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 6:17Shot by Heinen, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 6:55Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 10:12Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Jarry
  13. P1 10:53Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  14. P1 12:57Shot by Dobson, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 14:11Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 15:48Shot by Engvall, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 17:22Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 17:45Shot by Imama, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 17:49Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 19:24Shot by Reilly, saved by Jarry
  21. P1 19:37Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 19:45Goal by Crosby (Timmins, Graves)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Rakell, Graves, Timmins · NYI Palmieri, Reilly, Mayfield, Horvat, Holmstrom

  23. P1 19:45Engvall: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Rakell, Graves, Timmins · NYI Palmieri, Reilly, Mayfield, Horvat, Holmstrom

  24. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 2:23Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Jarry
  27. P2 3:02Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  28. P2 3:33Shot by Timmins, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 3:51Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 4:48Horvat: Abuse of officials (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Graves, Acciari, Koppanen, Lizotte · NYI Pelech, DeAngelo, MacLean, Gatcomb, Tsyplakov

  31. P2 5:18Shot by Tomasino, saved by Sorokin5v4
  32. P2 6:58Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 10:33Shot by Timmins, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 11:17Shot by Reilly, saved by Jarry
  35. P2 12:02Grzelcyk: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Grzelcyk, Dewar, Tomasino · NYI Lee, Pageau, Duclair, Horvat, Pulock, Dobson

  36. P2 12:29Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry4v5
  37. P2 13:25Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Jarry4v5
  38. P2 14:08Shot by Reilly, saved by Jarry
  39. P2 14:17Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  40. P2 14:22Shot by Mayfield, saved by Jarry
  41. P2 14:31Shot by Mayfield, saved by Jarry
  42. P2 15:38Shot by Graves, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 17:15Shot by Koppanen, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 17:29Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 17:49Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Jarry
  46. P2 18:35Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry
  47. P2 18:53Shot by Hayes, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 19:22Shot by Dobson, saved by Jarry
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:17Goal by Palmieri, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Kolyachonok · NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Holmstrom

  52. P3 0:49Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  53. P3 2:05Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Jarry
  54. P3 2:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 5:32Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry
  56. P3 5:34Goal by Dobson (Horvat, Palmieri)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Rakell, Grzelcyk, Timmins · NYI Palmieri, Horvat, Pulock, Dobson, Holmstrom

  57. P3 6:05Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  58. P3 6:38Shot by Dobson, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 7:52Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Jarry
  60. P3 10:41Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jarry
  61. P3 12:53Shot by Graves, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 13:08Goal by Engvall (Dobson, Fasching)+39 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Graves, Dewar, Tomasino · NYI Cizikas, Fasching, Pulock, Engvall, Dobson

  63. P3 14:43Pulock: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Rust, Graves, Koppanen, Timmins, Lizotte · NYI Pelech, Pulock, MacLean, Gatcomb, Tsyplakov

  64. P3 15:47Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry5v4
  65. P3 15:59Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin5v4
  66. P3 16:40Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin5v4
  67. P3 18:28Goal by Holmstrom (Palmieri)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Hayes, Rust, Rakell · NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Holmstrom

  68. P3 19:40Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final