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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 20, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New York Rangers 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

New York Rangers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 50% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 2:05Shot by Carrick, saved by Stolarz
  4. P1 2:13Shot by Laughton, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:19Shot by Soucy, saved by Stolarz
  6. P1 3:18Shot by Knies, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 3:59Shot by Soucy, saved by Stolarz
  8. P1 4:17Shot by Domi, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 4:28Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 6:08Shot by Fox, saved by Stolarz
  11. P1 7:29Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Stolarz
  12. P1 8:08Shot by Miller, saved by Stolarz
  13. P1 8:28Shot by Knies, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 8:35Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Stolarz
  15. P1 8:50Miller: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Miller, Cuylle · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, McMann

  16. P1 8:53Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  17. P1 9:01Shot by Trocheck, saved by Stolarz4v5
  18. P1 10:53Shot by Tanev, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 11:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 12:06Shot by Othmann, saved by Stolarz
  21. P1 12:30Goal by Tavares (McCabe, Nylander)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Miller, Cuylle · TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, McMann

  22. P1 14:46Shot by Cuylle, saved by Stolarz
  23. P1 14:54Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P1 16:15Shot by Knies, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P1 16:24Shot by Marner, saved by Shesterkin
  26. P1 19:12Goal by Borgen (Soucy, Brodzinski)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Carrick, Soucy, Brodzinski, Borgen · TOR Rielly, Domi, Carlo, Holmberg, Robertson

  27. P1 19:50Goal by McMann (McCabe, Tavares)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Borgen, Miller, Lafrenière · TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, McMann

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:33Shot by Miller, saved by Stolarz
  31. P2 1:20Shot by Trocheck, saved by Stolarz
  32. P2 1:22Goal by Panarin (Trocheck, Fox)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Soucy, Panarin, Fox, Cuylle · TOR Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Marner, Knies

  33. P2 3:39Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Stolarz
  34. P2 4:04Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 4:16Goal by Tavares (McMann, McCabe)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Soucy, Panarin, Fox, Cuylle · TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, McMann

  36. P2 4:31Shot by Jones, saved by Stolarz
  37. P2 5:07Shot by Jones, saved by Stolarz
  38. P2 6:15Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 6:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 8:30Shot by Cuylle, saved by Stolarz
  41. P2 8:48Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Stolarz
  42. P2 11:04Shot by Borgen, saved by Stolarz
  43. P2 13:48Shot by Kreider, saved by Stolarz
  44. P2 14:26Goal by Knies (Nylander)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Miller, Brodzinski, Fox, Miller · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Matthews, Knies

  45. P2 19:17Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 4:40Shot by Carrick, saved by Stolarz
  49. P3 5:12Shot by Lorentz, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 6:07Shot by Fox, saved by Stolarz
  51. P3 6:15Shot by Robertson, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P3 7:19Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 7:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 7:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 7:53Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Stolarz
  56. P3 9:18Knies: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Jones, Schneider, Lafrenière · TOR Rielly, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  57. P3 9:46Shot by Miller, saved by Stolarz5v4
  58. P3 10:13Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Stolarz5v4
  59. P3 13:15Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Stolarz
  60. P3 14:43Shot by Domi, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 15:46Shot by Panarin, saved by Stolarz
  62. P3 16:51Shot by Laughton, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 17:07Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 17:46Shot by Trocheck, saved by Stolarz6v5
  65. P3 19:25Goal by Kreider (Panarin, Trocheck)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Panarin, Fox · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  66. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  67. P3 0:00Final6v5