Thu, Mar 20, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 50% of the time.
39%
11%
9%
41%
NYR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 22:23 | 0.00 | 64.7% | +58.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.02 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.03 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 19:42 | 0.41 | 73.4% | +58.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.01 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.41 | 86.9% | +33.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.00 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 17:59 | 0.39 | 78.7% | +41.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.06 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.23 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.00 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 15:13 | 0.28 | 61.7% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.08 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.05 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.06 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.17 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:31 | 0.10 | 43.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.22 | −0.8 | 60:00 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:26 | 0.14 | 50.3% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.23 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.08 | 58.5% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:18 | 0.33 | 53.0% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.06 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.21 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:55 | 0.06 | 38.8% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.07 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.09 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.14 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.15 | 40.4% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.40 | 60.0% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:39 | 0.12 | 39.8% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.10 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:44 | 0.05 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:39 | 0.00 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:35 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.29 | −1.7 | 57:31 |