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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 20, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New York Rangers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 50% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake McCabeD · #22033+1022:230.0064.7%+58.1
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #950000121:250.0247.4%0.0
Chris TanevD · #8000+2119:540.0363.7%0.0
John TavaresC · #91213+2419:420.4173.4%+58.1
Morgan RiellyD · #44000−1119:390.0162.8%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88022+4319:280.4186.9%+33.8
Brandon CarloD · #250000019:140.0055.6%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #74112+3417:590.3978.7%+41.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16000−2117:350.0647.7%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #340000317:350.2360.3%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #20000015:420.0036.9%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23101−1415:130.2861.7%+16.7
David KampfC · #640000013:280.0024.3%0.0
Scott LaughtonC · #240000213:240.0821.6%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #180000112:510.0535.8%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000−1111:140.0638.5%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29000−1010:430.1735.9%0.0
Max DomiC · #11000−1210:310.1043.0%0.0
Anthony Stolarz#41W30273.9002.22−0.860:00

New York Rangers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Adam FoxD · #23011−1224:260.1450.3%+20.1
J.T. MillerC · #8000−1121:570.2329.8%0.0
Artemi PanarinLW · #101120221:410.0858.5%+23.3
Vincent TrocheckC · #160220321:180.3353.0%+23.3
K'Andre MillerD · #79000−3221:160.0635.9%0.0
Mika ZibanejadC · #930000220:530.2131.1%0.0
Will BorgenD · #171010218:550.0638.8%+19.3
Zac JonesD · #60000217:550.0731.4%0.0
Braden SchneiderD · #40000017:170.0036.7%0.0
Alexis LafrenièreLW · #13000−1216:510.0929.0%0.0
Will CuylleLW · #50000−1216:350.1453.8%0.0
Chris KreiderLW · #20101+1216:210.1540.4%+3.2
Carson SoucyD · #24011+1216:010.4060.0%+19.3
Jonny BrodzinskiC · #220110314:390.1239.8%+19.3
Sam CarrickC · #39000+1214:260.1041.9%0.0
Brennan OthmannLW · #78000016:440.0588.9%0.0
Juuso ParssinenC · #71000006:390.0067.8%0.0
Brett BerardLW · #65000006:350.000.0%0.0
Igor Shesterkin#31L28244.8572.29−1.757:31