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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 20, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New York Rangers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 50% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Nylander–McMannMarner–Matthews–KniesLaughton–Lorentz–KampfDomi–Holmberg–RobertsonTanev–McCabeRielly–CarloEkman-Larsson–BenoitEkman-Larsson–CarloEkman-Larsson–RiellyRielly–McCabeCarlo–BenoitEkman-Larsson–McCabe
Zibanejad–Miller–Lafrenière1:390.00–0.418:310.24–0.264:500.08–0.352:420.01–0.311:480.04–0.000:420.17–0.001:140.00–0.000:400.04–0.00
Trocheck–Panarin–Cuylle7:490.16–0.421:200.11–0.040:320.27–0.003:160.04–0.223:400.25–0.242:330.00–0.001:020.00–0.000:420.09–0.04
Kreider–Carrick–Brodzinski2:470.01–0.282:120.11–0.014:410.17–0.091:380.07–0.232:230.05–0.003:270.12–0.051:010.00–0.000:300.04–0.00
Parssinen–Berard–Othmann3:500.00–0.001:040.00–0.001:380.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:350.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Jones–Schneider2:050.00–0.410:370.02–0.006:290.21–0.063:210.12–0.094:050.12–0.064:000.11–0.393:300.17–0.090:480.00–0.000:380.00–0.100:300.00–0.040:340.00–0.00
Borgen–Miller1:010.01–0.095:540.13–0.200:400.04–0.001:480.04–0.193:370.05–0.291:420.01–0.013:020.04–0.191:130.18–0.000:520.00–0.000:330.04–0.00
Soucy–Fox5:420.15–0.220:420.01–0.000:420.27–0.001:320.02–0.182:470.26–0.080:310.00–0.001:380.00–0.001:060.00–0.00
Fox–Miller3:400.02–0.221:450.11–0.000:500.00–0.003:310.05–0.230:410.00–0.082:400.01–0.00
Soucy–Borgen1:380.00–0.220:420.06–0.000:400.03–0.000:430.00–0.062:230.09–0.160:430.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMiller FLafrenière FZibanejad FPanarin FTrocheck FCuylle FBrodzinski FCarrick FKreider FOthmann FParssinen FBerard FBorgen DMiller DSoucy DFox DJones DSchneider DShesterkin GMarner FKnies FMatthews FMcMann FNylander FTavares FHolmberg FDomi FRobertson FLaughton FLorentz FKampf FTanev DMcCabe DCarlo DRielly DEkman-Larsson DBenoit DStolarz G
NYRTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Adam FoxNYR2624:260:562:4773
Jake McCabeTOR3322:230:413:0916
J.T. MillerNYR2621:570:512:5446
Artemi PanarinNYR2321:410:572:3251
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3121:250:411:5943
Vincent TrocheckNYR2321:180:562:4561
K'Andre MillerNYR2521:160:511:5052
Mika ZibanejadNYR2320:530:542:4732
Chris TanevTOR3319:540:362:3527
John TavaresTOR2219:420:541:5646
Morgan RiellyTOR2919:390:411:4663
William NylanderTOR2319:280:511:5146
Brandon CarloTOR2619:140:441:5622
Will BorgenNYR2418:550:471:4213
Bobby McMannTOR2317:590:471:5946
Zac JonesNYR1917:550:571:4310
Mitch MarnerTOR2417:350:441:2213
Auston MatthewsTOR2417:350:441:2324
Braden SchneiderNYR2017:170:521:3420
Alexis LafrenièreNYR2316:510:441:1852
Will CuylleNYR2116:350:471:4151
Chris KreiderNYR2216:210:452:0410
Carson SoucyNYR2216:010:441:2514
Simon BenoitTOR2715:420:350:5703
Matthew KniesTOR2215:130:421:2214
Jonny BrodzinskiNYR1814:390:491:2810
Sam CarrickNYR1814:260:481:2610
David KampfTOR2113:280:381:4131
Scott LaughtonTOR1913:240:421:2831
Steven LorentzTOR2012:510:391:1831
Nick RobertsonTOR1811:140:371:0511
Pontus HolmbergTOR1610:430:401:0201
Max DomiTOR1810:310:350:5301
Brennan OthmannNYR126:440:340:5310
Juuso ParssinenNYR126:390:330:5212
Brett BerardNYR106:350:401:1112