Thu, Mar 20, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Washington Capitals 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 85% of the time.
9%
80%
WSH winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:31 | 0.16 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:24 | 0.79 | 67.1% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.38 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.01 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.07 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.06 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.56 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.34 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.03 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.16 | 83.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.00 | 88.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 1.27 | 68.1% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:02 | 0.15 | 78.5% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.03 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.08 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:29 | 0.31 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:10 | 0.00 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 1.69 | −1.3 | 56:36 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.26 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.06 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.44 | 38.4% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:34 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.00 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.00 | 21.5% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.10 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:36 | 0.33 | 41.1% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.03 | 31.5% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.04 | 65.4% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.00 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.12 | 17.5% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.14 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.14 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.25 | 56.4% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:48 | 0.19 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 2 | .964 | 4.42 | +2.4 | 60:00 |