Thu, Mar 20, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Montréal Canadiens 3, New York Islanders 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 54% of the time.
36%
9%
46%
NYI winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 26:32 | 0.15 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:13 | 0.03 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:03 | 0.57 | 84.4% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:52 | 0.29 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:56 | 0.51 | 86.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.06 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 15:52 | 0.23 | 66.0% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.03 | 62.9% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:12 | 0.23 | 12.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.03 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:34 | 0.44 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:26 | 0.39 | 45.9% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.06 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.00 | 6.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.14 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:09 | 0.19 | 47.3% | +13.2 |
| O | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 3.01 | −1.0 | 63:37 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 26:14 | 0.26 | 80.5% | +66.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:05 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:31 | 0.01 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.41 | 29.9% | +34.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 21:38 | 0.69 | 69.8% | +59.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.09 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:24 | 0.09 | 67.2% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.00 | 7.7% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.10 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.08 | 12.4% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.07 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.43 | 24.4% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.15 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:54 | 0.41 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.02 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.11 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.09 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:24 | 0.00 | 29.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 3.34 | +0.3 | 63:37 |