Wed, Mar 26, 2025·Honda Center, Anaheim
Boston Bruins 2, Anaheim Ducks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 05 | 14 | 116 | 225 |
| ANA | 115 | 312 | 210 | 637 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:33ANALeo CarlssonSHAssists: Alex Killorn, Drew Helleson · Wrist, 0.25 xG0–1
- P2 13:58ANANikita NesterenkoUnassisted · Wrist, 0.20 xG0–2
- P2 16:20BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Morgan Geekie, Elias Lindholm · Snap, 0.13 xG1–2
- P2 17:57ANAJackson LaCombeGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–3
- P2 18:45ANACutter GauthierAssists: Alex Killorn · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–4
- P3 4:02ANALeo CarlssonAssists: Jackson LaCombe · Snap, 0.18 xG1–5
- P3 12:25ANAMason McTavishUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–6
- P3 12:46BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: Pavel Zacha · Snap, 0.07 xG2–6
Penalties (11)
- P1 14:10BOSMarat Khusnutdinov: Holding2 min
- P1 16:33ANANikita Nesterenko: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:43ANALeo Carlsson: Holding2 min
- P2 13:58BOSMichael Callahan: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:56ANATroy Terry: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:56ANAFrank Vatrano: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:56ANAFrank Vatrano: Misconduct10 min
- P2 19:41ANAJacob Trouba: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:12ANAJansen Harkins: Fighting5 min
- P3 4:12BOSMichael Callahan: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:19BOSAndrew Peeke: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McTavish won the faceoff against Lindholm
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Lauko – Beecher9:27
xG 0.31–0.12 (72%)attempts 19–4goals 0–0
- Zacha – Geekie – Lysell8:31
xG 0.49–0.37 (57%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Lettieri – Koepke6:53
xG 0.09–0.38 (20%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Mittelstadt – Khusnutdinov8:24
xG 0.09–0.59 (14%)attempts 2–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWotherspoon – Peeke5:38
xG 0.55–0.19 (74%)attempts 12–3goals 0–1
- Jokiharju – Lohrei3:02
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Callahan11:05
xG 0.36–0.93 (28%)attempts 12–21goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Vatrano – Terry7:40
xG 1.07–0.11 (91%)attempts 15–3goals 0–0
- Zegras – Colangelo – McTavish12:17
xG 1.07–0.25 (81%)attempts 16–13goals 2–0
- Killorn – Gauthier – Carlsson9:53
xG 0.82–0.75 (52%)attempts 18–14goals 1–1
- Harkins – Lundeström – Nesterenko7:42
xG 0.22–0.26 (45%)attempts 2–15goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHelleson – Mintyukov12:12
xG 1.40–0.55 (72%)attempts 17–14goals 1–0
- Trouba – Zellweger16:44
xG 0.95–0.42 (70%)attempts 27–16goals 1–0
- Gudas – LaCombe13:10
xG 0.55–0.33 (62%)attempts 10–14goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).