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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 27, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, San Jose Sharks 6 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.

SJS winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Toffoli, saved by Woll
  3. P1 4:18Shot by Celebrini, saved by Woll
  4. P1 4:39Shot by Toffoli, saved by Woll
  5. P1 4:49Shot by Wennberg, saved by Woll
  6. P1 5:32Shot by Tanev, saved by Georgiev
  7. P1 6:42Shot by Tanev, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 7:37Shot by Liljegren, saved by Woll
  9. P1 7:47Shot by Carlsson, saved by Woll
  10. P1 7:50Goal by Toffoli (Carlsson, Liljegren)+11 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Carlsson, Liljegren, Graf · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit, McMann

  11. P1 8:09Shot by Robertson, saved by Georgiev
  12. P1 9:36Shot by Goodrow, saved by Woll
  13. P1 10:26Shot by Liljegren, saved by Woll
  14. P1 10:46Shot by Laughton, saved by Georgiev
  15. P1 11:11Shot by Toffoli, saved by Woll
  16. P1 11:30Shot by Ferraro, saved by Woll
  17. P1 11:39Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev
  18. P1 12:12Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev
  19. P1 13:06Shot by Cagnoni, saved by Woll
  20. P1 13:39Shot by Cagnoni, saved by Woll
  21. P1 13:50Dellandrea: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Ferraro, Giles, Dellandrea, Mukhamadullin, Lund · TOR Tanev, Laughton, McCabe, Domi, Robertson

  22. P1 14:40Goal by Nylander (Knies, Tavares)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Desharnais, Ferraro, Giles, Eklund · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  23. P1 15:28Shot by Domi, saved by Georgiev
  24. P1 15:36Shot by Carlo, saved by Georgiev
  25. P1 15:49Shot by Giles, saved by Woll
  26. P1 15:57Shot by Ferraro, saved by Woll
  27. P1 17:31Carlsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Carlsson, Liljegren, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  28. P1 17:45Goal by Graf (Ferraro)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Graf · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  29. P1 18:04Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev4v5
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:39Goal by Wennberg (Toffoli, Liljegren)+13 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Carlsson, Liljegren, Graf · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  33. P2 3:53Shot by Knies, saved by Georgiev
  34. P2 4:35Shot by Rielly, saved by Georgiev
  35. P2 4:36Shot by Tavares, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 4:39Carlsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Carlsson, Liljegren, Graf · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, McMann

  37. P2 4:43Shot by Knies, saved by Georgiev4v5
  38. P2 4:46Goal by Matthews (Knies, Marner)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Graf · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  39. P2 6:10Shot by Robertson, saved by Georgiev
  40. P2 6:11Shot by Robertson, saved by Georgiev
  41. P2 6:15Shot by McCabe, saved by Georgiev
  42. P2 7:36Shot by Lund, saved by Woll
  43. P2 8:59Shot by Eklund, saved by Woll
  44. P2 9:23McMann: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Carlsson, Liljegren, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Nylander, McMann

  45. P2 11:02Shot by Mukhamadullin, saved by Woll5v4
  46. P2 11:23Shot by Mukhamadullin, saved by Woll
  47. P2 13:01Shot by Smith, saved by Woll
  48. P2 13:12Shot by Mukhamadullin, saved by Woll
  49. P2 13:18Goal by Eklund, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  50. P2 13:59Shot by Toffoli, saved by Woll
  51. P2 14:33Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Georgiev
  52. P2 14:36Shot by Lorentz, saved by Georgiev
  53. P2 15:13Goal by Laughton (Kampf, Ekman-Larsson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Wennberg, Grundstrom, Desharnais, Cagnoni · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Laughton, Kampf, Robertson

  54. P2 17:41Shot by Liljegren, saved by Woll
  55. P2 18:36Domi: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Grundstrom, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Ostapchuk · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Laughton, Domi, Robertson

  56. P2 18:36Ostapchuk: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Grundstrom, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Ostapchuk · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Laughton, Domi, Robertson

  57. P2 18:36Domi: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Grundstrom, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Ostapchuk · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Laughton, Domi, Robertson

  58. P2 18:36Domi: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Grundstrom, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Ostapchuk · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Laughton, Domi, Robertson

  59. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:06Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev
  62. P3 2:06Shot by Wennberg, saved by Woll
  63. P3 2:50Robertson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Carlsson, Liljegren, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini · TOR Rielly, Laughton, McCabe, Robertson, Knies

  64. P3 3:02Goal by Toffoli (Eklund, Celebrini)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Eklund, Cagnoni, Celebrini · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews

  65. P3 3:07Shot by Liljegren, saved by Woll
  66. P3 4:37Shot by Graf, saved by Woll
  67. P3 5:35Shot by Knies, saved by Georgiev
  68. P3 5:51McCabe: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Desharnais, Eklund, Cagnoni, Smith, Celebrini · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  69. P3 7:43Shot by Liljegren, saved by Woll5v4
  70. P3 8:07Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  71. P3 8:27Mukhamadullin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Ferraro, Giles, Mukhamadullin, Graf · TOR Rielly, Carlo, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  72. P3 13:13Shot by Toffoli, saved by Woll
  73. P3 13:22Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Woll
  74. P3 16:18Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev
  75. P3 18:31Shot by Marner, saved by Georgiev5v6
  76. P3 19:01Goal by Tavares (Marner)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  77. P3 19:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev5v6
  78. P3 19:46Goal by Nylander (Marner, Matthews)5v6+43 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Graf · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 0:27Shot by Marner, saved by Georgiev3v3
  82. OT 1:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev3v3
  83. OT 1:23Shot by Celebrini, saved by Woll3v3
  84. OT 2:23Shot by Eklund, saved by Woll3v3
  85. OT 2:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev3v3
  86. OT 2:54Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev3v3
  87. OT 2:56Shot by Domi, saved by Georgiev3v3
  88. OT 3:00Shot by Rielly, saved by Georgiev3v3
  89. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  90. SO Period start
  91. SO Goal by Nylander, unassistedother
  92. SO Goal by Smith, unassistedother
  93. SO Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgievother
  94. SO Goal by Celebrini, unassistedother
  95. SO Period endother
  96. SO Finalother