Thu, Mar 27, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, San Jose Sharks 6 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
35%
8%
49%
SJS winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25:26 | 0.48 | 28.9% | +59.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25:07 | 0.71 | 38.3% | +55.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 24:51 | 0.00 | 25.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:11 | 0.01 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:26 | 0.62 | 44.8% | +55.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:06 | 0.34 | 29.3% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.25 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.12 | 35.3% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.04 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.02 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 15:16 | 0.69 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:28 | 0.17 | 38.5% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.00 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:37 | 0.00 | 87.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:45 | 0.07 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:41 | 0.33 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:38 | 0.11 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 84.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 35 | 30 | 5 | .857 | 2.78 | −2.2 | 62:23 |
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:26 | 0.15 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:24 | 0.05 | 49.6% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.52 | 74.7% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 23:13 | 0.22 | 68.6% | +23.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:10 | 0.46 | 78.7% | +24.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:43 | 0.26 | 56.4% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.17 | 55.5% | +12.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 | 19:28 | 0.89 | 65.3% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:07 | 0.26 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.07 | 69.0% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.09 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.00 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.09 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.01 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.01 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:06 | 0.04 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.12 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:54 | 0.08 | 97.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 30 | 5 | .857 | 3.96 | −1.0 | 65:00 |