Fri, Mar 28, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Vancouver Canucks 6, Columbus Blue Jackets 7 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 310 | 112 | 211 | 04 | 0 | 637 |
| CBJ | 012 | 310 | 315 | 01 | 1 | 738 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:51VANLinus KarlssonPPAssists: Kiefer Sherwood, Conor Garland · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 10:35VANBrock BoeserAssists: Quinn Hughes, Pius Suter · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P1 13:26VANJake DeBruskPPAssists: Brock Boeser, Pius Suter · Snap, 0.26 xG3–0
- P2 0:34CBJBoone JennerAssists: Denton Mateychuk, Erik Gudbranson · Deflected, 0.11 xG3–1
- P2 4:54CBJKirill MarchenkoAssists: Sean Monahan, Dante Fabbro · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–2
- P2 8:44CBJDante FabbroAssists: Cole Sillinger, Mathieu Olivier · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–3
- P2 11:23VANTyler MyersSHAssists: Kiefer Sherwood, Pius Suter · Tip-in, 0.12 xG4–3
- P3 6:42VANAatu RätyAssists: Dakota Joshua, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.03 xG5–3
- P3 7:03CBJDenton MateychukAssists: Boone Jenner, Adam Fantilli · Slap, 0.04 xG5–4
- P3 16:46CBJBoone JennerPPAssists: Kirill Marchenko, Zach Werenski · Deflected, 0.14 xG5–5
- P3 17:08CBJMathieu OlivierAssists: Dante Fabbro, Justin Danforth · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–6
- P3 17:31VANAatu RätyAssists: Dakota Joshua, Kiefer Sherwood · Snap, 0.24 xG6–6
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Kent Johnson scored
- 2. VAN Jake DeBrusk stopped
- 3. CBJ Adam Fantilli stopped
- 4. VAN Conor Garland stopped
- 5. CBJ Kirill Marchenko stopped
- 6. VAN Jonathan Lekkerimäki stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 7:33CBJSean Monahan: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 10:35VANLinus Karlsson: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 10:35CBJDante Fabbro: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:35VANLinus Karlsson: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:43CBJDamon Severson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 10:31VANElias Pettersson: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 16:40VANLinus Karlsson: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Blueger won the faceoff against Fantilli
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestJoshua – Sherwood – Räty9:36
xG 0.41–0.13 (76%)attempts 9–8goals 2–1
- Blueger – Garland – O'Connor9:59
xG 0.36–0.32 (53%)attempts 7–8goals 0–2
- Karlsson – Aman – Lekkerimäki6:23
xG 0.11–0.14 (43%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Boeser – DeBrusk – Suter14:30
xG 0.34–0.78 (30%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes17:01
xG 1.01–0.86 (54%)attempts 24–18goals 2–3
- Forbort – Hughes2:52
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Forbort – Pettersson8:07
xG 0.15–0.24 (38%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMonahan – Marchenko – Voronkov15:02
xG 0.79–0.41 (66%)attempts 18–11goals 1–2
- Olivier – Danforth – Sillinger10:01
xG 0.81–0.57 (59%)attempts 16–8goals 2–1
- Jenner – Johnson – Fantilli14:09
xG 0.43–0.41 (51%)attempts 12–9goals 2–0
- Kuraly – Kunin – Aston-Reese8:07
xG 0.07–0.26 (20%)attempts 4–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Fabbro15:46
xG 0.79–0.36 (69%)attempts 22–6goals 3–2
- Werenski – Mateychuk2:33
xG 0.33–0.08 (81%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Gudbranson – Mateychuk10:53
xG 0.58–0.37 (61%)attempts 10–11goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).