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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 0

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Zucker, saved by Stolarz
  3. P1 4:49Shot by Mermis, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 5:07Shot by Laughton, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 6:19Shot by Thompson, saved by Stolarz
  6. P1 6:30Shot by Dahlin, saved by Stolarz
  7. P1 8:22Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 9:56Shot by Tuch, saved by Stolarz
  9. P1 10:06Shot by McLeod, saved by Stolarz
  10. P1 10:22Shot by Nylander, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 10:53Shot by Ostlund, saved by Stolarz
  12. P1 11:11Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Stolarz
  13. P1 11:19Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Stolarz
  14. P1 12:14Shot by Knies, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 12:31Shot by Thompson, saved by Stolarz
  16. P1 13:38Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 14:16Shot by Rosen, saved by Stolarz
  18. P1 15:57Robertson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bryson, McLeod, Bernard-Docker, Quinn, Peterka · TOR Tanev, Holmberg, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  19. P1 16:18Shot by Peterka, saved by Stolarz5v4
  20. P1 16:37Shot by Zucker, saved by Stolarz5v4
  21. P1 16:59Shot by Zucker, saved by Stolarz5v4
  22. P1 17:32Quinn: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Kulich, Ostlund · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Carlo, Knies

  23. P1 18:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  24. P1 18:45Shot by Knies, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:21Shot by Holmberg, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 2:23Quinn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bryson, Byram, Quinn, Rosen, Ostlund · TOR Tanev, Carlo, Holmberg, Robertson, McMann

  29. P2 2:48Shot by Tavares, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  30. P2 6:34Shot by Dahlin, saved by Stolarz
  31. P2 7:56Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 9:11Shot by Peterka, saved by Stolarz
  33. P2 11:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 12:14Shot by Tuch, saved by Stolarz
  35. P2 12:33Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 12:50Shot by Peterka, saved by Stolarz
  37. P2 12:57Shot by Nylander, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 13:10Shot by Rielly, saved by Luukkonen
  39. P2 14:15Goal by Lorentz (Laughton, Jarnkrok)+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Byram, Ostlund, Benson · TOR Tanev, Jarnkrok, Laughton, Lorentz, Benoit

  40. P2 15:14Shot by Holmberg, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P2 15:57Shot by Zucker, saved by Stolarz
  42. P2 16:24Shot by Quinn, saved by Stolarz
  43. P2 17:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 17:53Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 18:14Shot by Tuch, saved by Stolarz
  46. P2 18:16Shot by Benson, saved by Stolarz
  47. P2 18:47Shot by Kulich, saved by Stolarz
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:23Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Stolarz
  51. P3 0:25Shot by Dahlin, saved by Stolarz
  52. P3 1:13Shot by Lorentz, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 1:50Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 2:04Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  55. P3 2:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Luukkonen
  56. P3 3:40Shot by Nylander, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 3:49Nylander: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Domi, Nylander, Carlo

  58. P3 4:00Shot by Zucker, saved by Stolarz5v4
  59. P3 4:41Shot by Peterka, saved by Stolarz5v4
  60. P3 5:52Shot by Kulich, saved by Stolarz
  61. P3 6:44Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  62. P3 6:57Shot by Mermis, saved by Luukkonen
  63. P3 14:29Shot by Tavares, saved by Luukkonen
  64. P3 14:42Shot by Myers, saved by Luukkonen
  65. P3 15:19Shot by Kulich, saved by Stolarz
  66. P3 15:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
  67. P3 15:39Goal by Marner (Matthews, Knies)+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Thompson, Byram, Kulich, Benson · TOR Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  68. P3 15:57Shot by Dahlin, saved by Stolarz
  69. P3 17:05Shot by Kulich, saved by Stolarz
  70. P3 17:22Shot by Tuch, saved by Stolarz6v5
  71. P3 17:24Shot by McLeod, saved by Stolarz6v5
  72. P3 17:41Shot by Thompson, saved by Stolarz6v5
  73. P3 17:49Shot by Thompson, saved by Stolarz6v5
  74. P3 18:08Goal by Matthews, unassisted6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Dahlin, Peterka · TOR Rielly, Laughton, Carlo, Marner, Matthews

  75. P3 18:43Goal by Robertson (Holmberg, McMann)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Bryson, Rosen, Ostlund · TOR Rielly, Myers, Holmberg, Robertson, McMann

  76. P3 19:48Shot by Bryson, saved by Stolarz
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final