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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marner–Matthews–KniesTavares–Domi–NylanderJarnkrok–Laughton–LorentzHolmberg–Robertson–McMannTavares–Nylander–KniesTanev–BenoitRielly–MyersMermis–CarloRielly–CarloRielly–BenoitTanev–Rielly
Thompson–Kulich–Benson8:480.14–0.625:370.10–0.432:200.08–0.042:040.00–0.100:420.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Zucker–Tuch–Krebs1:570.00–0.004:490.15–0.021:100.03–0.150:590.07–0.002:170.08–0.002:050.07–0.002:380.07–0.182:050.00–0.11
McLeod–Quinn–Peterka2:470.33–0.184:080.00–0.131:430.00–0.172:210.04–0.062:260.06–0.174:050.23–0.26
Lafferty–Rosen–Ostlund1:390.24–0.002:360.02–0.281:250.00–0.122:390.65–0.160:480.02–0.000:320.00–0.00
Thompson–Krebs–Benson1:010.00–0.000:530.00–0.15
Zucker–Thompson–Krebs1:010.00–0.140:480.00–0.11
Krebs–Quinn–Benson
Tuch–Kulich–Benson0:440.24–0.000:410.24–0.00
Samuelsson–Dahlin7:500.14–0.195:340.57–0.101:270.20–0.001:010.00–0.005:380.13–0.005:070.29–0.263:190.51–0.131:340.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Clifton–Byram2:380.00–0.434:050.19–0.111:520.00–0.221:430.07–0.144:200.20–0.552:190.09–0.114:300.18–0.24
Bryson–Bernard-Docker0:500.00–0.303:590.07–0.163:090.02–0.293:050.00–0.183:070.47–0.412:360.02–0.18
Clifton–Samuelsson0:390.00–0.000:350.09–0.150:450.00–0.11
Dahlin–Byram0:410.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:520.12–0.11
Samuelsson–Bernard-Docker
Clifton–Bryson0:500.01–0.160:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBenson FKulich FThompson FZucker FKrebs FTuch FMcLeod FQuinn FPeterka FOstlund FLafferty FRosen FSamuelsson DDahlin DByram DClifton DBernard-Docker DBryson DLuukkonen GMarner FKnies FMatthews FDomi FNylander FTavares FLorentz FJarnkrok FLaughton FRobertson FMcMann FHolmberg FCarlo DRielly DBenoit DTanev DMyers DMermis DStolarz G
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3225:410:481:3258
Mattias SamuelssonBUF3225:010:471:2639
Tage ThompsonBUF2522:260:541:4652
Morgan RiellyTOR3021:510:441:2351
Connor CliftonBUF2720:400:461:3723
Chris TanevTOR3120:280:401:1215
Mitch MarnerTOR2419:560:501:3354
Simon BenoitTOR2819:560:431:4106
Brandon CarloTOR2919:530:411:0763
Auston MatthewsTOR2519:370:471:4754
Matthew KniesTOR2219:230:531:3450
Bowen ByramBUF3019:140:381:1533
Alex TuchBUF2418:400:471:3866
William NylanderTOR2218:220:502:0662
John TavaresTOR2118:210:522:0152
Zach BensonBUF2017:500:541:3101
Jiri KulichBUF2217:150:471:2421
Peyton KrebsBUF2417:040:431:2037
Philippe MyersTOR2617:030:391:3133
Jason ZuckerBUF2116:240:471:3564
Ryan McLeodBUF2416:220:412:0082
JJ PeterkaBUF2016:190:491:3372
Max DomiTOR2115:140:441:3052
Scott LaughtonTOR2114:340:421:1105
Dakota MermisTOR2014:120:431:1022
Jack QuinnBUF2113:580:401:1132
Jacob Bernard-DockerBUF1813:040:441:3531
Calle JarnkrokTOR1812:270:421:0802
Steven LorentzTOR1812:210:411:1004
Jacob BrysonBUF1911:400:371:3532
Bobby McMannTOR1911:040:351:1121
Pontus HolmbergTOR1810:400:361:1340
Nick RobertsonTOR2010:380:321:0531
Noah OstlundBUF159:300:380:5712
Sam LaffertyBUF158:490:351:0603
Isak RosenBUF137:000:320:5003