Tue, Apr 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
38%
9%
47%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:51 | 0.01 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:28 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.27 | 81.5% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:56 | 0.00 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.01 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 19:37 | 1.56 | 68.6% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.06 | 72.8% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.15 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.28 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.02 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.26 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.26 | 45.2% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.09 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.00 | 44.4% | +25.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:21 | 0.23 | 60.9% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 11:04 | 0.18 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:40 | 0.13 | 84.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:38 | 0.47 | 72.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 35 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.74 | +3.7 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 25:41 | 0.12 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:01 | 0.04 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:26 | 0.14 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.02 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.06 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:40 | 0.31 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.14 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:15 | 0.62 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.08 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:24 | 0.60 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.46 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:19 | 0.31 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.15 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.06 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.01 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:30 | 0.15 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:49 | 0.46 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:00 | 0.01 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.22 | +0.2 | 59:03 |