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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000+2221:510.0156.8%0.0
Chris TanevD · #8000+2020:280.0051.7%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16101+2119:560.2781.5%+11.0
Simon BenoitD · #2000+2019:560.0048.4%0.0
Brandon CarloD · #25000+1019:530.0150.9%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34112+2619:371.5668.6%+11.5
Matthew KniesLW · #23011+1219:230.0672.8%+11.0
William NylanderRW · #880000318:220.1512.5%0.0
John TavaresC · #910000218:210.2826.7%0.0
Philippe MyersD · #51000+1117:030.0251.2%0.0
Max DomiC · #110000015:140.2619.9%0.0
Scott LaughtonC · #24011+2114:340.2645.2%+25.4
Dakota MermisD · #360000214:120.0947.0%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #19011+1012:270.0044.4%+25.4
Steven LorentzC · #18101+1212:210.2360.9%+25.4
Bobby McMannC · #74011+1511:040.1874.7%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29011+1210:400.1384.0%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #89101+1310:380.4772.0%0.0
Anthony Stolarz#41W353501.0003.74+3.760:00

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus DahlinD · #26000−1425:410.1263.0%0.0
Mattias SamuelssonD · #230000125:010.0457.4%0.0
Tage ThompsonC · #72000−2422:260.1427.8%0.0
Connor CliftonD · #75000−3020:400.0233.7%0.0
Bowen ByramD · #4000−2019:140.0651.1%0.0
Alex TuchRW · #89000−1418:400.3157.0%0.0
Zach BensonLW · #9000−2117:500.1453.8%0.0
Jiri KulichC · #20000−1417:150.6257.6%0.0
Peyton KrebsC · #190000017:040.0836.3%0.0
Jason ZuckerLW · #17000−1516:240.6043.9%0.0
Ryan McLeodC · #71000−1216:220.4644.1%0.0
JJ PeterkaRW · #77000−1416:190.3131.5%0.0
Jack QuinnRW · #220000113:580.1558.4%0.0
Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #240000213:040.0653.8%0.0
Jacob BrysonD · #78000−1111:400.0132.7%0.0
Noah OstlundC · #36000−219:300.1560.1%0.0
Sam LaffertyC · #81000−208:490.4662.7%0.0
Isak RosenRW · #63000−117:000.0164.7%0.0
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1L31283.9033.22+0.259:03