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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 17, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Washington Capitals 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Away

Washington Capitals

2

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 81% of the time.

PIT winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Shea, saved by Stevenson
  3. P1 2:11Shot by Leonard, saved by Nedeljkovic
  4. P1 2:25Shot by Poulin, saved by Stevenson
  5. P1 3:19Shot by Crosby, saved by Stevenson
  6. P1 4:06Shot by Wilson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  7. P1 4:08Goal by McMichael (Wilson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Rakell, Graves, Heinen, Kolyachonok · WSH McIlrath, Wilson, Dubois, Alexeyev, McMichael

  8. P1 4:51Shot by Koivunen, saved by Stevenson
  9. P1 4:54Goal by Rust (Koivunen, Grzelcyk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Grzelcyk, Koivunen · WSH Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Raddysh, Sandin, Frank

  10. P1 5:37Shot by Ponomarev, saved by Stevenson
  11. P1 5:50Shot by Puustinen, saved by Stevenson
  12. P1 8:48Shot by Dewar, saved by Stevenson
  13. P1 12:19Shot by Timmins, saved by Stevenson
  14. P1 12:24Shot by Timmins, saved by Stevenson
  15. P1 12:54Shot by Wilson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  16. P1 14:02Shot by Malkin, saved by Stevenson
  17. P1 15:02Shot by Shea, saved by Stevenson
  18. P1 18:42Shot by Tomasino, saved by Stevenson
  19. P1 19:24Shot by McIlrath, saved by Nedeljkovic
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:25Shot by Tomasino, saved by Stevenson
  23. P2 2:58Shot by Chychrun, saved by Nedeljkovic
  24. P2 2:59Shot by Eller, saved by Nedeljkovic
  25. P2 3:00Shot by Eller, saved by Nedeljkovic
  26. P2 3:50Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  27. P2 4:32Shot by Strome, saved by Nedeljkovic
  28. P2 6:19Mangiapane: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Grzelcyk, Poulin, Puustinen, Ponomarev · WSH Eller, McIlrath, van Riemsdyk, Mangiapane, Leonard

  29. P2 7:19Goal by Rust (Crosby, Koivunen)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Rakell, Grzelcyk, Koivunen · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Sandin, McMichael

  30. P2 7:56McIlrath: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Heinen, Shea, Tomasino · WSH Eller, McIlrath, Beauvillier, Alexeyev, Leonard

  31. P2 8:00Shot by Rakell, saved by Stevenson5v4
  32. P2 8:01Shot by Rakell, saved by Stevenson5v4
  33. P2 8:46Shot by Chychrun, saved by Nedeljkovic5v4
  34. P2 9:42Shot by Malkin, saved by Stevenson5v4
  35. P2 10:19Shot by Dewar, saved by Stevenson
  36. P2 11:03Shot by McIlrath, saved by Nedeljkovic
  37. P2 11:56Goal by Crosby (Tomasino, Dewar)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Grzelcyk, Dewar, Tomasino · WSH Eller, van Riemsdyk, Mangiapane, Chychrun, Raddysh

  38. P2 12:21Shot by Timmins, saved by Stevenson
  39. P2 12:51Shot by Heinen, saved by Stevenson
  40. P2 15:04Shot by Rust, saved by Stevenson
  41. P2 15:47Shot by Sandin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  42. P2 15:51Crosby: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Grzelcyk, Shea, Koivunen · WSH Ovechkin, Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Raddysh, Sandin

  43. P2 16:56Goal by Ovechkin (Strome, Dubois)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Grzelcyk, Poulin, Ponomarev · WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Dubois

  44. P2 17:38Shot by Alexeyev, saved by Nedeljkovic
  45. P2 17:41Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Nedeljkovic
  46. P2 18:52Shot by Eller, saved by Nedeljkovic
  47. P2 19:39Shot by Rust, saved by Stevenson
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 4:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Stevenson
  51. P3 5:19Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by Stevenson
  52. P3 6:33Shot by Kolyachonok, saved by Stevenson
  53. P3 6:46Rakell: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Rakell, Heinen, Shea, Timmins · WSH McIlrath, Wilson, Dubois, Alexeyev, McMichael

  54. P3 8:46Goal by Heinen, unassisted4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Heinen, Shea, Timmins, Ponomarev · WSH Ovechkin, Mangiapane, Sandin, McMichael, Leonard

  55. P3 9:01Goal by Tomasino (Rakell, Grzelcyk)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Rakell, Grzelcyk, Tomasino · WSH Eller, McIlrath, Beauvillier, Alexeyev, Frank

  56. P3 9:28Shot by Karlsson, saved by Stevenson
  57. P3 10:32Shot by Koppanen, saved by Stevenson
  58. P3 10:52Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Nedeljkovic
  59. P3 12:02Shot by Karlsson, saved by Stevenson
  60. P3 12:10Shot by Koivunen, saved by Stevenson
  61. P3 13:07Shot by Alexeyev, saved by Nedeljkovic
  62. P3 14:30Shot by Shea, saved by Stevenson
  63. P3 14:58Shot by Ponomarev, saved by Stevenson
  64. P3 16:17Shot by Malkin, saved by Stevenson
  65. P3 19:03Shot by Raddysh, saved by Nedeljkovic
  66. P3 19:38Shot by Rakell, saved by Stevenson
  67. P3 19:57Shot by Heinen, saved by Stevenson
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final