Thu, Apr 17, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Washington Capitals 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 81% of the time.
74%
13%
PIT winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:22 | 0.15 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:22 | 0.02 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:46 | 0.03 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:30 | 0.03 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.05 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.07 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:27 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.22 | 51.3% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.10 | 49.6% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 48.6% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.16 | 64.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.06 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:38 | 0.23 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.09 | 56.2% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.39 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.00 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:14 | 0.03 | 22.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 33 | 5 | .868 | 3.53 | −1.5 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 25:06 | 0.02 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 22:25 | 0.02 | 70.3% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:59 | 0.05 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:54 | 0.10 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.33 | 69.3% | +30.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.41 | 73.9% | +29.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:38 | 0.68 | 71.9% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:50 | 0.58 | 58.0% | +3.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.21 | 60.9% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:00 | 0.37 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.07 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:24 | 0.41 | 93.4% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.11 | 84.3% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.01 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.05 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:56 | 0.08 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.05 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 1.63 | −0.4 | 60:00 |