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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 17, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Washington Capitals 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 81% of the time.

PIT winsWSH wins

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jakob ChychrunD · #6000−1225:220.1533.2%0.0
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57000−2124:220.0257.4%0.0
Rasmus SandinD · #38000−2123:460.0325.8%0.0
Alexander AlexeyevD · #270000223:300.0333.8%0.0
Dylan McIlrathD · #520000219:560.0521.0%0.0
Ryan LeonardRW · #9000−1116:300.0727.7%0.0
Nic DowdC · #26000−1015:270.0018.2%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #8101−1215:070.2251.3%+12.6
Connor McMichaelLW · #241010114:500.1049.6%+14.4
Pierre-Luc DuboisC · #80011+1014:080.0048.6%+12.6
Tom WilsonRW · #43011+1214:070.1664.0%+14.4
Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88000−2013:530.0023.9%0.0
Taylor RaddyshRW · #16000−2113:520.0610.6%0.0
Lars EllerC · #20000−2313:380.2325.0%0.0
Dylan StromeC · #170110113:100.0956.2%+12.6
Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72000−1112:340.3954.1%0.0
Brandon DuhaimeLW · #220000011:340.0035.4%0.0
Ethen FrankRW · #53000−2011:140.0322.4%0.0
Clay Stevenson#33L38335.8683.53−1.560:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #65000+3225:060.0268.6%0.0
Matt GrzelcykD · #24022+3122:250.0270.3%+17.8
Ryan SheaD · #5000+1320:590.0576.8%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #20000+1320:540.1068.6%0.0
Ville KoivunenRW · #41022+1218:070.3369.3%+30.7
Sidney CrosbyC · #87112+2317:510.4173.9%+29.8
Bryan RustRW · #17202+1417:380.6871.9%+30.7
Rickard RakellRW · #670110316:500.5858.0%+3.3
Danton HeinenLW · #431010316:180.2160.9%+12.4
Evgeni MalkinC · #710000316:000.3761.8%0.0
Joona KoppanenLW · #150000115:490.0778.9%0.0
Philip TomasinoRW · #53112+2315:240.4193.4%+16.9
Connor DewarC · #19011+1215:090.1184.3%+13.6
Ryan GravesD · #27000−1014:020.0152.5%0.0
Vladislav KolyachonokD · #23000−1113:500.0039.2%0.0
Vasily PonomarevC · #11000+1211:060.0543.0%0.0
Samuel PoulinRW · #22000019:560.0840.1%0.0
Valtteri PuustinenRW · #48000019:310.0540.1%0.0
Alex Nedeljkovic#39W20182.9001.63−0.460:00