Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 9, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Montréal Canadiens 5, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 71% of the time.

DET winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Seider, saved by Dobes
  3. P1 1:56Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Dobes
  4. P1 3:13Dobson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Appleton, Rasmussen, Soderblom, Edvinsson, Sandin-Pellikka · MTL Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Laine, Dobson

  5. P1 3:16Shot by Raymond, saved by Dobes5v4
  6. P1 3:50Goal by Larkin (Kane, Seider)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · MTL Matheson, Carrier, Newhook, Kapanen

  7. P1 4:37Shot by Suzuki, saved by Gibson
  8. P1 5:51Kasper: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Hamonic, Johansson, Soderblom, Kasper · MTL Anderson, Evans, Carrier, Laine, Xhekaj

  9. P1 6:28Shot by Caufield, saved by Gibson4v5
  10. P1 7:50Shot by Dobson, saved by Gibson4v5
  11. P1 8:10Shot by Hamonic, saved by Dobes
  12. P1 9:38Shot by Matheson, saved by Gibson
  13. P1 10:14Goal by Bolduc (Gallagher, Matheson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Hamonic, Rasmussen, Johansson, Soderblom, Brandsegg-Nygård · MTL Gallagher, Carrier, Dach, Bolduc, Xhekaj

  14. P1 10:25Shot by Chiarot, saved by Dobes
  15. P1 11:24Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Dobes
  16. P1 11:34Shot by Caufield, saved by Gibson
  17. P1 12:43Goal by Kapanen (Newhook, Demidov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Hamonic, DeBrincat, Johansson, Kasper · MTL Newhook, Guhle, Kapanen, Hutson, Demidov

  18. P1 13:15Gallagher: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Edvinsson, Sandin-Pellikka, Brandsegg-Nygård · MTL Gallagher, Carrier, Dach, Bolduc, Xhekaj

  19. P1 13:23Shot by Raymond, saved by Dobes5v4
  20. P1 14:13Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Dobes5v4
  21. P1 14:47Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Dobes5v4
  22. P1 15:35Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Dobes
  23. P1 17:28Shot by Bolduc, saved by Gibson
  24. P1 19:53Goal by Matheson (Suzuki, Dobson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Appleton, Rasmussen, Seider, Soderblom · MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Slafkovský

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:40Shot by Larkin, saved by Dobes
  28. P2 2:12Shot by Compher, saved by Dobes
  29. P2 3:40Shot by Finnie, saved by Dobes
  30. P2 4:03Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Dobes
  31. P2 5:19Goal by Carrier (Xhekaj, Gallagher)+9 pts WP

    On ice: DET Hamonic, Copp, Johansson, Kasper, Brandsegg-Nygård · MTL Gallagher, Carrier, Dach, Bolduc, Xhekaj

  32. P2 5:56Shot by Appleton, saved by Dobes
  33. P2 7:06Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Dobes
  34. P2 12:01Shot by Seider, saved by Dobes
  35. P2 12:02Shot by Seider, saved by Dobes
  36. P2 12:53Edvinsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Appleton, Rasmussen, Soderblom, Edvinsson, Sandin-Pellikka · MTL Anderson, Evans, Carrier, Laine, Xhekaj

  37. P2 14:28Shot by Hamonic, saved by Dobes4v5
  38. P2 15:38Shot by Matheson, saved by Gibson
  39. P2 16:32Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Dobes
  40. P2 17:05Seider: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Appleton, Rasmussen, Seider, Soderblom · MTL Carrier, Newhook, Kapanen, Xhekaj, Demidov

  41. P2 17:09Shot by Caufield, saved by Gibson4v5
  42. P2 17:12Goal by Slafkovský (Caufield, Suzuki)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Johansson, Edvinsson · MTL Suzuki, Caufield, Bolduc, Hutson, Slafkovský

  43. P2 17:36Shot by Bolduc, saved by Talbot
  44. P2 18:42Shot by Larkin, saved by Dobes
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:50Shot by Bolduc, saved by Talbot
  48. P3 3:50Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Talbot
  49. P3 4:34Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Dobes
  50. P3 4:47Shot by Seider, saved by Dobes
  51. P3 4:55Shot by Johansson, saved by Dobes
  52. P3 5:32Xhekaj: Holding the stick (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Raymond, Edvinsson, Sandin-Pellikka, Brandsegg-Nygård · MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Dobson, Dach, Bolduc

  53. P3 5:39Shot by Anderson, saved by Talbot5v4
  54. P3 6:05Shot by Larkin, saved by Dobes5v4
  55. P3 7:35Shot by Copp, saved by Dobes
  56. P3 10:07Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Dobes
  57. P3 16:20Shot by Kasper, saved by Dobes
  58. P3 16:42Gallagher: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Edvinsson, Sandin-Pellikka, Brandsegg-Nygård · MTL Gallagher, Carrier, Dach, Bolduc, Xhekaj

  59. P3 17:52Shot by Seider, saved by Dobes5v4
  60. P3 18:27Shot by Larkin, saved by Dobes5v4
  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final