Thu, Oct 9, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Montréal Canadiens 5, Detroit Red Wings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 71% of the time.
63%
8%
9%
20%
DET winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:41 | 0.06 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:46 | 0.00 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:22 | 0.09 | 41.2% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.08 | 41.1% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.00 | 24.4% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.05 | 3.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 34.0% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.12 | 48.0% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.00 | 25.3% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.00 | 3.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.42 | 49.3% | +3.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 14:52 | 0.41 | 56.4% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.13 | 30.3% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:30 | 0.19 | 47.0% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:10 | 0.10 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 56.9% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.01 | 4.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.00 | 29.7% | +15.7 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.87 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:14 | 0.06 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 22:51 | 0.17 | 75.7% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:34 | 0.03 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:02 | 0.75 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:23 | 0.10 | 64.2% | +10.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:20 | 0.40 | 39.3% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.32 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.00 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.22 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.00 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.12 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:41 | 0.04 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.18 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.09 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 13:33 | 0.01 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.16 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.19 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.04 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 13 | 8 | 5 | .615 | 1.11 | −3.9 | 37:12 | |
| – | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.57 | +0.6 | 22:37 |