Thu, Oct 9, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vegas Golden Knights 4, San Jose Sharks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 52% of the time.
38%
9%
10%
42%
SJS winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 24:52 | 0.33 | 67.1% | +49.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:34 | 0.24 | 72.1% | +75.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:25 | 0.09 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.06 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.16 | 53.9% | +75.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:18 | 0.04 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:10 | 0.46 | 41.7% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.06 | 35.4% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.03 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.05 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.10 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.15 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.01 | 53.6% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.28 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:21 | 0.36 | 85.0% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.02 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:53 | 0.31 | 57.9% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:44 | 0.01 | 56.8% | +14.5 |
| W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.86 | −1.1 | 60:15 |
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:24 | 0.19 | 18.1% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:15 | 0.13 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.07 | 49.2% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.02 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:34 | 0.04 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:38 | 0.24 | 41.2% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:39 | 0.01 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:32 | 0.07 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.25 | 34.8% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.82 | 29.7% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.11 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.13 | 65.1% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.15 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.02 | 50.0% | +45.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:40 | 0.39 | 62.2% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.00 | 2.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:37 | 0.00 | 3.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:31 | 0.00 | 3.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.77 | −1.2 | 61:24 |