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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 11, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Washington Capitals 4, New York Islanders 2

Away

Washington Capitals

4

Final

Home

New York Islanders

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 79% of the time.

NYI winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:50Goal by Fehérváry (Ovechkin, Carlson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Horvat, DeAngelo, Romanov, Heineman · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Fehérváry, McMichael

  3. P1 3:59Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Thompson
  4. P1 7:13Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 7:15Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 7:42Shot by Dubois, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 9:45Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 11:15Shot by Horvat, saved by Thompson
  9. P1 11:53Shot by Dubois, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 13:52Goal by Protas (Chychrun, Wilson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom, Shabanov · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Dubois, Protas

  11. P1 14:20Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 14:48Shot by Leonard, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 17:47Barzal: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Duclair, Horvat, Pulock, Heineman · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Lapierre, Leonard

  14. P1 18:17Shot by Mayfield, saved by Thompson4v5
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 0:29Shot by Dowd, saved by Sorokin
  18. P2 1:38Shot by Barzal, saved by Thompson
  19. P2 1:40Shot by Barzal, saved by Thompson
  20. P2 3:39Shot by Shabanov, saved by Thompson
  21. P2 3:49Shot by Shabanov, saved by Thompson
  22. P2 4:01Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Thompson
  23. P2 4:40Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Thompson
  24. P2 4:57Shot by Mayfield, saved by Thompson
  25. P2 5:38Shot by Schaefer, saved by Thompson
  26. P2 6:51Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 7:06Shot by Strome, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 7:26Shot by Lee, saved by Thompson
  29. P2 7:44Palmieri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Horvat, DeAngelo, Romanov · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Dubois, Protas

  30. P2 9:00Shot by Dubois, saved by Sorokin4v5
  31. P2 9:12Shot by Strome, saved by Sorokin4v5
  32. P2 9:41Shot by McMichael, saved by Sorokin4v5
  33. P2 9:42Shot by McMichael, saved by Sorokin4v5
  34. P2 9:50Goal by Leonard (Chychrun, Protas)+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Pageau, Mayfield, Romanov, Holmstrom · WSH Chychrun, Sandin, McMichael, Protas, Leonard

  35. P2 13:07Shot by Horvat, saved by Thompson
  36. P2 14:52Shot by Protas, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 14:55Shot by Dubois, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 15:30Goal by Protas, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, DeAngelo, Romanov, Holmstrom, Shabanov · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Dubois, Protas

  39. P2 15:43Shot by Duclair, saved by Thompson
  40. P2 16:27Shot by Carlson, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 17:30Shot by Protas, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 18:43Chychrun: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Duclair, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer · WSH Carlson, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Lapierre, Leonard

  43. P2 18:51Goal by Duclair (Horvat, Palmieri)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Duclair, Horvat, DeAngelo, Barzal · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Duhaime, Fehérváry

  44. P2 19:22Shot by Schaefer, saved by Thompson
  45. P2 19:57Shot by Protas, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 2:09Shot by Romanov, saved by Thompson
  49. P3 3:26Roy: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, DeAngelo, Romanov, Holmstrom, Shabanov · WSH Beauvillier, Roy, Sandin, Lapierre, Leonard

  50. P3 4:23Shot by Palmieri, saved by Thompson5v4
  51. P3 4:24Shot by Horvat, saved by Thompson5v4
  52. P3 4:24Shot by Horvat, saved by Thompson5v4
  53. P3 4:28Goal by Schaefer (Palmieri, Horvat)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Duclair, Horvat, Barzal, Schaefer · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Duhaime, Fehérváry

  54. P3 4:28Ovechkin: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Duclair, Horvat, Barzal, Schaefer · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Duhaime, Fehérváry

  55. P3 5:10Shot by Horvat, saved by Thompson5v4
  56. P3 6:17Shot by Schaefer, saved by Thompson5v4
  57. P3 6:25Shot by Schaefer, saved by Thompson5v4
  58. P3 8:15Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 8:37Shot by Schaefer, saved by Thompson
  60. P3 9:45Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 10:31Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Thompson
  62. P3 11:20Shot by Wilson, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 11:29Shot by Carlson, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 11:59Shot by Shabanov, saved by Thompson
  65. P3 12:01Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Thompson
  66. P3 12:20Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 12:36Shot by Sourdif, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 13:12Shot by Schaefer, saved by Thompson
  69. P3 17:17Shot by Pulock, saved by Thompson6v5
  70. P3 17:54Shot by Heineman, saved by Thompson6v5
  71. P3 18:04Shot by Heineman, saved by Thompson6v5
  72. P3 18:52Shot by Lee, saved by Thompson6v5
  73. P3 18:53Shot by Palmieri, saved by Thompson6v5
  74. P3 19:30Shot by Barzal, saved by Thompson6v5
  75. P3 19:44Shot by Schaefer, saved by Thompson6v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  77. P3 0:00Final6v5