Sat, Oct 11, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Washington Capitals 4, New York Islanders 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 79% of the time.
16%
72%
NYI winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:44 | 0.37 | 78.1% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.02 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.00 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 19:45 | 0.00 | 76.7% | +23.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 19:19 | 1.00 | 85.0% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.03 | 75.8% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:53 | 0.12 | 74.7% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 18:30 | 0.39 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.24 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.27 | 55.4% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.94 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.02 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.17 | 88.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 89.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.36 | 90.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:52 | 0.34 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:01 | 0.33 | 59.6% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.03 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 2.66 | +0.7 | 59:44 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 26:04 | 0.41 | 46.6% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:28 | 0.16 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.39 | 39.4% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 20:37 | 0.63 | 33.0% | +9.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.18 | 25.1% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.02 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.02 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.02 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.01 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.03 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:54 | 0.14 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.20 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.05 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:53 | 0.22 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.09 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:14 | 0.06 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:33 | 0.02 | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.82 | −0.2 | 56:09 |