Sat, Oct 11, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
New York Rangers 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 61% of the time.
31%
8%
9%
52%
PIT winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:34 | 0.01 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 23:41 | 0.14 | 69.6% | +40.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:12 | 0.43 | 69.6% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.06 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:31 | 0.07 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.16 | 28.8% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.05 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:24 | 0.11 | 69.7% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.28 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.54 | 45.7% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 15:36 | 0.36 | 71.5% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:41 | 0.04 | 45.8% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:46 | 0.20 | 48.7% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.13 | 56.9% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 11:18 | 0.26 | 74.5% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 10:33 | 0.36 | 69.3% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.00 | 29.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:35 | 0.00 | 21.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 2.63 | +1.6 | 59:40 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:28 | 0.02 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.02 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.02 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 18:44 | 0.50 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.23 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.04 | 37.4% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.21 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.03 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.03 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.16 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.04 | 60.1% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.30 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.00 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.18 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:48 | 0.27 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:05 | 0.57 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 24 | 6 | .800 | 3.20 | −2.8 | 59:37 |