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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 11, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

Dallas Stars 5, Colorado Avalanche 4 (SO)

Away

Dallas Stars

5

Final

Shootout

Home

Colorado Avalanche

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 59% of the time.

COL winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:37Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Oettinger
  3. P1 4:49Shot by Landeskog, saved by Oettinger
  4. P1 6:51Shot by Harley, saved by Wedgewood
  5. P1 7:58Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Oettinger
  6. P1 8:13Shot by Makar, saved by Oettinger
  7. P1 8:19Bichsel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar · DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Steel, Lyubushkin, Bichsel

  8. P1 8:41Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Oettinger5v4
  9. P1 8:46Shot by Makar, saved by Oettinger5v4
  10. P1 9:27Shot by Olofsson, saved by Oettinger5v4
  11. P1 9:33Shot by Makar, saved by Oettinger5v4
  12. P1 10:17Shot by Burns, saved by Oettinger5v4
  13. P1 11:40Manson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Malinski · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Lyubushkin, Harley, Johnston

  14. P1 12:42Shot by Johnston, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  15. P1 13:39Shot by Bourque, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  16. P1 14:22Harley: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Malinski · DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Steel, Lundkvist, Harley

  17. P1 15:10Shot by Nelson, saved by Oettinger5v4
  18. P1 15:35Shot by Makar, saved by Oettinger5v4
  19. P1 15:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Oettinger5v4
  20. P1 16:58Shot by Landeskog, saved by Oettinger
  21. P1 18:51Goal by Harley (Rantanen, Lundkvist)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Nichushkin, Toews, Kelly · DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Lundkvist, Harley

  22. P1 19:00Shot by Landeskog, saved by Oettinger
  23. P1 19:29Shot by Johnston, saved by Wedgewood
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:15Rantanen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Steel, Lundkvist, Harley

  27. P2 2:24Shot by Toews, saved by Oettinger
  28. P2 3:54Goal by Necas (MacKinnon, Malinski)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Malinski · DAL Lindell, Rantanen, Hintz, Lundkvist, Johnston

  29. P2 4:41Hryckowian: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Olofsson, Colton, Makar, Drury · DAL Steel, Heiskanen, Bourque, Bichsel, Hryckowian

  30. P2 4:41Colton: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Olofsson, Colton, Makar, Drury · DAL Steel, Heiskanen, Bourque, Bichsel, Hryckowian

  31. P2 6:21Shot by Malinski, saved by Oettinger
  32. P2 7:29Shot by Bastian, saved by Wedgewood
  33. P2 8:35Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Oettinger
  34. P2 9:34Shot by Malinski, saved by Oettinger
  35. P2 10:07Goal by Brindley (Olofsson)+25 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Olofsson, Drury, Brindley · DAL Faksa, Steel, Bastian, Lundkvist, Harley

  36. P2 11:13Makar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Colton, Makar, Kelly, Kiviranta · DAL Faksa, Lindell, Bastian, Robertson, Heiskanen

  37. P2 12:45Shot by Rantanen, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  38. P2 14:10Shot by Toews, saved by Oettinger
  39. P2 14:33Shot by Johnston, saved by Wedgewood
  40. P2 15:13Shot by Robertson, saved by Wedgewood
  41. P2 15:22Goal by Bastian (Lindell, Heiskanen)+28 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Solovyov · DAL Lindell, Bastian, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  42. P2 17:44Shot by Burns, saved by Oettinger
  43. P2 18:25Goal by Robertson (Harley, Lyubushkin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Olofsson, Drury, Brindley, Malinski · DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Harley

  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:34Goal by Lehkonen (MacKinnon, Necas)+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · DAL Blackwell, Faksa, Bastian, Lundkvist, Harley

  47. P3 1:30Shot by Olofsson, saved by Oettinger
  48. P3 1:32Shot by Drury, saved by Oettinger
  49. P3 1:58Goal by Johnston, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Toews, Olofsson, Colton, Drury, Malinski · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Lyubushkin, Johnston, Bichsel

  50. P3 3:02Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Wedgewood
  51. P3 3:47Shot by Nelson, saved by Oettinger
  52. P3 4:33Shot by Duchene, saved by Wedgewood
  53. P3 5:12Shot by Robertson, saved by Wedgewood
  54. P3 7:33Shot by Makar, saved by Oettinger
  55. P3 7:38Lyubushkin: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Kiviranta, Brindley · DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Bichsel

  56. P3 7:44Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Oettinger5v4
  57. P3 8:35Shot by Lindell, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  58. P3 10:19Shot by Hintz, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  59. P3 10:43Shot by Burns, saved by Oettinger5v4
  60. P3 10:46Goal by MacKinnon (Necas, Burns)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Steel, Harley

  61. P3 11:49Shot by Manson, saved by Oettinger
  62. P3 12:18Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Oettinger
  63. P3 12:18Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Oettinger
  64. P3 12:39Shot by Solovyov, saved by Oettinger
  65. P3 13:31Shot by Manson, saved by Oettinger
  66. P3 16:48Shot by Drury, saved by Oettinger
  67. P3 17:36Shot by Necas, saved by Oettinger
  68. P3 18:09Shot by Steel, saved by Wedgewood
  69. P3 18:48Shot by Johnston, saved by Wedgewood
  70. P3 18:50Shot by Robertson, saved by Wedgewood
  71. P3 18:51Shot by Robertson, saved by Wedgewood
  72. P3 18:57Shot by Rantanen, saved by Wedgewood
  73. P3 19:16Shot by Landeskog, saved by Oettinger
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. OT 0:00Period start
  76. OT 4:19Shot by Necas, saved by Oettinger3v3
  77. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  78. SO Period start
  79. SO Goal by Robertson, unassistedother
  80. SO Shot by Olofsson, saved by Oettingerother
  81. SO Shot by Duchene, saved by Wedgewoodother
  82. SO Goal by Nichushkin, unassistedother
  83. SO Goal by Rantanen, unassistedother
  84. SO Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Oettingerother
  85. SO Period endother
  86. SO Finalother