Sat, Oct 11, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver
Dallas Stars 5, Colorado Avalanche 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 59% of the time.
51%
8%
9%
32%
COL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25:52 | 0.22 | 50.3% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:07 | 0.03 | 68.0% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:46 | 0.04 | 65.2% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.12 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:29 | 0.50 | 61.3% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.37 | 23.1% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 20:21 | 0.67 | 69.1% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 17:09 | 0.01 | 35.2% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.01 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.20 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:37 | 0.00 | 41.0% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.15 | 4.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 7:04 | 0.93 | 65.9% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:23 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 3.86 | −0.1 | 65:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 28:00 | 0.08 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 26:23 | 0.32 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 25:01 | 0.42 | 79.2% | +64.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:01 | 0.48 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 23:11 | 0.32 | 61.7% | +64.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 22:16 | 0.78 | 78.6% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 20:35 | 0.08 | 30.9% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.35 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:14 | 0.20 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.06 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.08 | 69.3% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.24 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:45 | 0.10 | 47.4% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.08 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:34 | 0.01 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:25 | 0.25 | 54.5% | +24.9 |
| O | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 3.25 | −0.7 | 65:00 |