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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 12, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York

Washington Capitals 1, New York Rangers 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.

NYR winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Wilson–Dubois–ProtasOvechkin–Milano–StromeDowd–Duhaime–SourdifBeauvillier–McMichael–LeonardDowd–Wilson–DuhaimeOvechkin–Strome–BeauvillierStrome–Beauvillier–LeonardBeauvillier–Dubois–ProtasRoy–SandinCarlson–FehérváryChychrun–ChisholmCarlson–ChychrunChychrun–SandinRoy–FehérváryRoy–Chisholm
Zibanejad–Panarin–Lafrenière3:490.22–0.341:570.10–0.003:330.07–0.350:550.07–0.040:340.00–0.003:590.43–0.294:380.09–0.141:460.00–0.040:480.00–0.271:000.00–0.00
Miller–Sheary–Cuylle7:561.02–0.101:060.00–0.114:040.92–0.003:180.02–0.002:260.29–0.051:230.00–0.150:330.01–0.00
Carrick–Edstrom–Rempe1:180.12–0.002:140.02–0.143:080.00–0.030:450.00–0.020:520.05–0.001:480.13–0.001:110.10–0.005:210.07–0.150:460.00–0.000:420.00–0.03
Brodzinski–Raddysh–Laba2:260.05–0.113:120.00–0.141:370.01–0.002:350.06–0.211:580.00–0.040:470.00–0.02
Gavrikov–Fox5:560.98–0.063:160.22–0.501:530.00–0.133:040.03–0.245:150.94–0.223:280.01–0.104:160.29–0.191:260.00–0.281:320.00–0.11
Borgen–Robertson1:370.02–0.003:260.00–0.092:400.02–0.002:250.00–0.161:020.12–0.000:330.05–0.002:080.12–0.075:470.12–0.144:290.06–0.050:480.02–0.00
Vaakanainen–Schneider2:120.13–0.031:430.03–0.002:410.15–0.011:560.05–0.110:540.07–0.044:210.32–0.002:510.11–0.112:300.01–0.050:300.00–0.000:390.00–0.030:580.01–0.00
Gavrikov–Robertson0:350.00–0.000:500.02–0.00
Borgen–Schneider0:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Gavrikov–Schneider1:000.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPanarin FLafrenière FZibanejad FCuylle FSheary FMiller FRaddysh FBrodzinski FLaba FCarrick FEdstrom FRempe FSchneider DBorgen DGavrikov DFox DRobertson DVaakanainen DQuick GLeonard FMcMichael FBeauvillier FWilson FDubois FProtas FOvechkin FMilano FStrome FDuhaime FDowd FSourdif FFehérváry DCarlson DChychrun DChisholm DRoy DSandin DLindgren G
NYRWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Adam FoxNYR2523:430:572:0764
John CarlsonWSH2322:020:571:4315
Vladislav GavrikovNYR2521:430:521:3054
Jakob ChychrunWSH2121:231:011:4920
Rasmus SandinWSH2121:191:011:4926
Artemi PanarinNYR2321:030:552:0844
Mika ZibanejadNYR2420:540:522:1235
Alexis LafrenièreNYR2320:470:542:1034
J.T. MillerNYR2220:310:563:0633
Matt RoyWSH2020:291:011:4706
Martin FehérváryWSH2319:450:521:2705
Tom WilsonWSH2019:200:582:0722
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2318:320:481:2335
Will BorgenNYR2318:230:481:5112
Matthew RobertsonNYR2218:080:491:4903
Braden SchneiderNYR2217:460:481:4023
Will CuylleNYR2217:340:482:0743
Nic DowdWSH2316:130:421:3005
Conor ShearyNYR2115:590:461:1143
Connor McMichaelWSH2315:320:411:0624
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH1815:320:521:1825
Dylan StromeWSH1914:490:471:2680
Alex OvechkinWSH1814:470:491:4880
Anthony BeauvillierWSH2014:440:441:3914
Declan ChisholmWSH1714:290:511:3810
Sam CarrickNYR1614:140:531:4213
Urho VaakanainenNYR1714:100:501:3712
Brandon DuhaimeWSH2213:460:381:0605
Matt RempeNYR1413:010:561:1711
Ryan LeonardWSH1412:140:521:3213
Adam EdstromNYR1411:420:501:2111
Noah LabaNYR1511:270:461:3320
Justin SourdifWSH1610:570:411:1603
Sonny MilanoWSH1310:070:471:1170
Taylor RaddyshNYR139:450:451:3710
Jonny BrodzinskiNYR129:040:451:3110