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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 13, 2025·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Boston Bruins 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Boston Bruins

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Goal by Cirelli (Guentzel, Goncalves)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Pastrnak, McAvoy, Geekie, Lohrei · TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Goncalves

  3. P1 2:16Lilleberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Arvidsson, Zacha, Peeke, Mittelstadt, Harris · TBL Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Moser, Lilleberg

  4. P1 2:19Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johansson5v4
  5. P1 3:46Arvidsson: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BOS Pastrnak, Arvidsson, Mittelstadt, Khusnutdinov, Lohrei · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Holmberg, Moser

  6. P1 4:16Shot by Peeke, saved by Johansson4v5
  7. P1 7:49Shot by Harris, saved by Johansson
  8. P1 8:01Shot by Point, saved by Korpisalo
  9. P1 8:11Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Johansson
  10. P1 8:19Shot by Zacha, saved by Johansson
  11. P1 8:48Shot by Point, saved by Korpisalo
  12. P1 8:51Shot by Point, saved by Korpisalo
  13. P1 9:19Shot by Guentzel, saved by Korpisalo
  14. P1 10:29Shot by Harris, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 10:40Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Korpisalo
  16. P1 12:44Shot by Gourde, saved by Korpisalo
  17. P1 13:16Goal by Cirelli (Guentzel, Goncalves)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Zadorov, Pastrnak, Geekie, Jokiharju · TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Goncalves

  18. P1 15:29Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Johansson
  19. P1 15:34Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Johansson
  20. P1 17:52Shot by Gourde, saved by Korpisalo
  21. P1 18:26Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Johansson
  22. P1 18:29Shot by McAvoy, saved by Johansson
  23. P1 19:00Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Johansson
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:39Goal by Gourde (Holmberg, Moser)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Peeke, Eyssimont, Jeannot, Harris, Minten · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Holmberg, Moser

  27. P2 1:09Goal by Mittelstadt (Arvidsson, Zacha)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Arvidsson, Zacha, McAvoy, Mittelstadt, Lohrei · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Goncalves, Lilleberg

  28. P2 2:07Shot by Kucherov, saved by Korpisalo
  29. P2 3:17Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Johansson
  30. P2 3:34Shot by Crozier, saved by Korpisalo
  31. P2 3:37Goal by Holmberg (Bjorkstrand, Crozier)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BOS McAvoy, Eyssimont, Jeannot, Lohrei, Minten · TBL Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Holmberg, Crozier, Lilleberg

  32. P2 3:46Shot by McAvoy, saved by Johansson
  33. P2 5:31Goal by Harris (Pastrnak)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Zadorov, Pastrnak, Zacha, Mittelstadt, Harris · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel

  34. P2 6:41Holmberg: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Kuraly, McAvoy, Kastelic, Khusnutdinov, Lohrei · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Cernak, Holmberg

  35. P2 6:57Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Johansson5v4
  36. P2 10:34Lilleberg: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Eyssimont, Harris, Khusnutdinov, Lohrei, Minten · TBL Gourde, Douglas, Holmberg, Crozier, Lilleberg

  37. P2 10:34Eyssimont: Roughing removing opponents helmet (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Eyssimont, Harris, Khusnutdinov, Lohrei, Minten · TBL Gourde, Douglas, Holmberg, Crozier, Lilleberg

  38. P2 10:43Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Johansson4v4
  39. P2 11:35Goal by Geekie (Zacha)4v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Zacha, McAvoy, Geekie, Lohrei · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Gourde, Moser

  40. P2 14:07Shot by Cernak, saved by Korpisalo
  41. P2 14:08Shot by Holmberg, saved by Korpisalo
  42. P2 14:24Holmberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Kuraly, Pastrnak, McAvoy, Geekie, Lohrei · TBL Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Holmberg, Crozier, Moser

  43. P2 14:26Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Johansson5v4
  44. P2 14:48Shot by Hagel, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  45. P2 15:12Shot by Gourde, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  46. P2 15:37Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Johansson5v4
  47. P2 16:27Shot by Lohrei, saved by Johansson
  48. P2 17:37Shot by Geekie, saved by Korpisalo
  49. P2 18:16Shot by McAvoy, saved by Johansson
  50. P2 18:27Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Johansson
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:21Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Johansson
  54. P3 3:09Shot by Kuraly, saved by Johansson
  55. P3 3:15Shot by Khusnutdinov, saved by Johansson
  56. P3 6:05Goncalves: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Zadorov, Arvidsson, Zacha, Peeke, Mittelstadt · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Goncalves, Moser

  57. P3 6:18Shot by Geekie, saved by Johansson5v4
  58. P3 7:13Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johansson5v4
  59. P3 10:03Jeannot: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BOS Kuraly, Peeke, Kastelic, Harris, Khusnutdinov · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Holmberg, Chaffee, Goncalves

  60. P3 10:15Shot by Hedman, saved by Korpisalo4v5
  61. P3 10:53Shot by Point, saved by Korpisalo4v5
  62. P3 12:22Shot by Gourde, saved by Korpisalo
  63. P3 12:47Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Johansson
  64. P3 13:32Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Korpisalo
  65. P3 14:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Korpisalo
  66. P3 15:47Shot by Lohrei, saved by Johansson
  67. P3 15:50Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Johansson
  68. P3 18:13Shot by Harris, saved by Johansson6v5
  69. P3 19:32Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Johansson6v5
  70. P3 19:36Point: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Pastrnak, Arvidsson, McAvoy, Eyssimont, Geekie · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak

  71. P3 19:36Arvidsson: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Pastrnak, Arvidsson, McAvoy, Eyssimont, Geekie · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak

  72. P3 19:51Cernak: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, McAvoy, Geekie · TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  73. P3 0:00Period end5v3
  74. P3 0:00Final5v3