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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 14, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Nashville Predators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 7

Away

Nashville Predators

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Tavares, saved by Annunen
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Tanev, saved by Annunen
  4. P1 1:10Shot by Knies, saved by Annunen
  5. P1 5:51Shot by McMann, saved by Annunen
  6. P1 6:23Shot by Smith, saved by Primeau
  7. P1 8:42Goal by McCabe (Joshua, Tavares)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Joshua, Matthews, Cowan · NSH Haula, Marchessault, Forsberg, Stastney, Barron

  8. P1 12:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Annunen
  9. P1 13:34Goal by Ekman-Larsson (Nylander, Benoit)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit, Maccelli · NSH Josi, McCarron, Smith, Wiesblatt, Wilsby

  10. P1 13:44Shot by Wiesblatt, saved by Primeau
  11. P1 14:15Shot by Joshua, saved by Annunen
  12. P1 15:00Shot by Svechkov, saved by Primeau
  13. P1 15:01Roy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Joshua, Roy, Benoit · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Perbix, Evangelista, Svechkov

  14. P1 15:38Shot by Forsberg, saved by Primeau4v5
  15. P1 16:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Primeau4v5
  16. P1 16:30Shot by Stamkos, saved by Primeau4v5
  17. P1 18:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Annunen
  18. P1 19:31Shot by Marchessault, saved by Primeau
  19. P1 19:57Shot by Josi, saved by Primeau
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:33Shot by Marchessault, saved by Primeau
  23. P2 2:13Shot by McMann, saved by Annunen
  24. P2 3:20Shot by Skjei, saved by Primeau
  25. P2 3:21Goal by McCarron (Skjei, Perbix)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Joshua, Carlo, Roy · NSH Skjei, McCarron, Perbix, Smith, Wiesblatt

  26. P2 4:05Goal by Haula (Wiesblatt)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, Maccelli · NSH Haula, Skjei, Perbix, Smith, Wiesblatt

  27. P2 5:40Knies: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Carlo, Matthews, Knies, Cowan · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Jost, Wilsby, Svechkov

  28. P2 5:51Shot by Marchessault, saved by Primeau4v5
  29. P2 6:55Shot by Svechkov, saved by Primeau4v5
  30. P2 8:49Goal by Tavares (Nylander, Ekman-Larsson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Maccelli · NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Smith, Wiesblatt, Wilsby

  31. P2 8:53Shot by Forsberg, saved by Primeau
  32. P2 10:48Shot by Carlo, saved by Annunen
  33. P2 13:27Shot by Forsberg, saved by Primeau
  34. P2 15:57Shot by Robertson, saved by Annunen
  35. P2 16:24Goal by McMann (Robertson, Ekman-Larsson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMann · NSH Skjei, McCarron, Perbix, Smith, Wiesblatt

  36. P2 16:28Shot by Evangelista, saved by Primeau
  37. P2 16:32Shot by Skjei, saved by Primeau
  38. P2 16:35Shot by Evangelista, saved by Primeau
  39. P2 16:56Shot by Jost, saved by Primeau
  40. P2 17:44McCarron: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Joshua, Carlo, Matthews · NSH Josi, McCarron, Stastney, Smith, Wiesblatt

  41. P2 17:44Carlo: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Joshua, Carlo, Matthews · NSH Josi, McCarron, Stastney, Smith, Wiesblatt

  42. P2 19:45Shot by Marchessault, saved by Primeau
  43. P2 19:51Shot by Carlo, saved by Annunen
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:14Shot by Nylander, saved by Annunen
  47. P3 0:59Shot by Skjei, saved by Primeau
  48. P3 2:47Shot by Perbix, saved by Primeau
  49. P3 3:28Wiesblatt: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Matthews, Knies, Cowan · NSH McCarron, Stastney, Smith, Wiesblatt, Barron

  50. P3 4:20Shot by Knies, saved by Annunen5v4
  51. P3 6:00Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Annunen
  52. P3 6:15Shot by Forsberg, saved by Primeau
  53. P3 6:33Shot by Barron, saved by Primeau
  54. P3 6:39Shot by Jost, saved by Primeau
  55. P3 6:59Shot by Nylander, saved by Annunen
  56. P3 10:08Shot by Josi, saved by Primeau
  57. P3 10:42Goal by Matthews (Knies, Cowan)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Matthews, Benoit, Knies, Cowan · NSH Haula, Marchessault, Bunting, Stastney, Barron

  58. P3 10:50Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Annunen
  59. P3 11:42Wilsby: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Benoit, Knies, Cowan · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Wilsby

  60. P3 11:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Annunen5v4
  61. P3 11:50Shot by Knies, saved by Annunen5v4
  62. P3 12:51Shot by Nylander, saved by Annunen5v4
  63. P3 15:22Shot by Rielly, saved by Annunen
  64. P3 15:51Shot by Josi, saved by Primeau
  65. P3 16:06Goal by Josi (Wilsby, Marchessault)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Knies · NSH Josi, Marchessault, Bunting, Wilsby, Svechkov

  66. P3 16:50Goal by Matthews (Tavares, Knies)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Matthews, Knies · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Skjei, Forsberg

  67. P3 17:50Shot by McMann, saved by Annunen
  68. P3 18:49Goal by Perbix (Wilsby, Wiesblatt)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Joshua, Roy, Benoit · NSH McCarron, Perbix, Smith, Wiesblatt, Wilsby

  69. P3 19:36Goal by Nylander (Knies, McCabe)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Knies · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Skjei, Forsberg

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final