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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 14, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Nashville Predators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Haula–Marchessault–BuntingMcCarron–Smith–WiesblattStamkos–O'Reilly–ForsbergStamkos–Evangelista–SvechkovO'Reilly–Forsberg–JostJost–Evangelista–SvechkovJosi–WilsbySkjei–PerbixStastney–BarronPerbix–Barron
Matthews–Knies–Cowan1:520.16–0.002:520.09–0.024:090.29–0.082:160.03–0.044:050.26–0.023:370.25–0.14
Tavares–Nylander–Maccelli3:100.56–0.082:330.03–0.011:010.15–0.001:180.03–0.163:240.68–0.135:100.32–0.140:390.00–0.01
Domi–Robertson–McMann2:260.15–0.081:320.12–0.090:310.02–0.001:450.21–0.001:120.00–0.033:110.01–0.090:410.06–0.013:590.37–0.09
Jarnkrok–Joshua–Roy0:560.00–0.002:180.02–0.211:290.04–0.041:160.07–0.103:380.07–0.001:170.02–0.160:550.04–0.04
Jarnkrok–Nylander–Roy0:450.00–0.070:360.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Joshua–Matthews–Cowan0:460.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Tanev–McCabe2:140.01–0.001:340.00–0.112:390.13–0.063:010.29–0.021:330.16–0.023:570.04–0.005:360.30–0.143:180.14–0.25
Ekman-Larsson–Benoit3:430.30–0.082:110.15–0.050:550.00–0.002:550.30–0.100:350.00–0.001:470.03–0.194:520.11–0.212:450.17–0.064:370.37–0.01
Rielly–Carlo3:330.56–0.083:340.02–0.201:340.02–0.031:010.06–0.071:160.04–0.054:470.34–0.064:280.29–0.201:470.16–0.01
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly0:390.00–0.000:500.24–0.100:420.00–0.00
Carlo–Benoit0:410.04–0.000:340.00–0.020:320.00–0.011:010.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMaccelli FNylander FTavares FMatthews FCowan FKnies FDomi FMcMann FRobertson FJarnkrok FRoy FJoshua FCarlo DRielly DMcCabe DTanev DBenoit DEkman-Larsson DPrimeau GHaula FBunting FMarchessault FO'Reilly FJost FForsberg FSvechkov FEvangelista FStamkos FSmith FMcCarron FWiesblatt FPerbix DSkjei DJosi DWilsby DBarron DStastney DAnnunen G
TORNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2723:130:522:1633
Brady SkjeiNSH2622:500:531:3653
Nick PerbixNSH2921:450:451:2933
Auston MatthewsTOR2421:310:541:5334
Jake McCabeTOR2921:300:441:2527
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2820:170:431:1223
Morgan RiellyTOR2620:010:461:4331
Chris TanevTOR2819:420:421:2627
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2118:570:541:3161
Matthew KniesTOR2218:550:522:0225
William NylanderTOR2118:510:541:3843
Adam WilsbyNSH2718:150:411:2833
Simon BenoitTOR2618:020:421:2323
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH2217:300:481:3140
Filip ForsbergNSH2117:290:501:3171
Erik HaulaNSH2417:290:441:1932
Steven StamkosNSH2017:230:522:1170
Brandon CarloTOR2817:000:361:4012
John TavaresTOR2016:370:501:3743
Spencer StastneyNSH2615:440:361:1210
Michael BuntingNSH1915:300:491:4530
Bobby McMannTOR1715:040:532:2401
Justin BarronNSH2314:370:381:0310
Fedor SvechkovNSH2114:300:411:1360
Easton CowanTOR1714:050:501:5311
Cole SmithNSH2013:050:391:0503
Luke EvangelistaNSH1712:510:451:3350
Max DomiTOR1612:480:481:4301
Michael McCarronNSH2112:480:371:1804
Nick RobertsonTOR1712:260:441:4601
Matias MaccelliTOR1512:230:501:2722
Calle JarnkrokTOR1811:460:391:0904
Nicolas RoyTOR1811:340:391:2014
Dakota JoshuaTOR1611:280:431:2312
Tyson JostNSH1711:240:401:0131
Ozzy WiesblattNSH179:300:341:1002