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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 16, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

New York Rangers 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 64% of the time.

TOR winsNYR wins

New York Rangers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Adam FoxD · #23000−1225:360.0464.5%0.0
Vladislav GavrikovD · #440000224:470.1059.3%0.0
Artemi PanarinLW · #10000−1222:420.1257.8%0.0
Mika ZibanejadC · #93000−1221:410.3950.5%0.0
J.T. MillerC · #80000221:120.5980.6%0.0
Alexis LafrenièreLW · #130000219:310.4965.9%0.0
Braden SchneiderD · #4011+1219:170.0227.4%+33.2
Conor ShearyLW · #430000017:410.0064.7%0.0
Will BorgenD · #170000116:220.1669.6%0.0
Will CuylleLW · #500000516:210.6166.6%0.0
Matthew RobertsonD · #290000015:240.0070.8%0.0
Urho VaakanainenD · #18000+1213:440.0241.7%0.0
Matt RempeC · #730000312:340.2443.0%0.0
Sam CarrickC · #390000212:240.1021.7%0.0
Taylor RaddyshRW · #14000+1011:080.0039.5%0.0
Noah LabaC · #42000+1010:240.0058.1%0.0
Adam EdstromC · #84000009:440.0039.1%0.0
Juuso ParssinenC · #71101+128:410.1158.1%+33.2
Igor Shesterkin#31O24222.9172.25+0.260:51

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Auston MatthewsC · #34101+1222:320.1339.5%+50.9
William NylanderRW · #88022+1221:130.1834.2%+67.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44011−1221:100.2262.0%+50.9
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95011+1021:040.0231.0%+16.1
Matthew KniesLW · #231010420:150.4737.2%+16.1
Jake McCabeD · #220000019:390.0271.3%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #20000019:210.0019.0%0.0
Brandon CarloD · #25000−1218:390.1564.9%0.0
Chris TanevD · #80000117:520.0146.0%0.0
John TavaresC · #91000−1116:540.2532.5%0.0
Matias MaccelliLW · #630000014:430.0037.1%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #740000014:240.0172.4%0.0
Max DomiC · #110000414:230.3761.7%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #19000−1112:180.0249.0%0.0
Easton CowanRW · #530000211:470.0948.4%0.0
Nicolas RoyC · #550000011:000.0043.9%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #890000310:350.2971.8%0.0
Dakota JoshuaC · #81000−109:150.0052.2%0.0
Anthony Stolarz#41W29281.9663.01+2.060:48