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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 16, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Edmonton Oilers 2, New York Islanders 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 58% of the time.

NYI winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Palmieri, saved by Skinner
  3. P1 0:50Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Rittich
  4. P1 2:41Shot by Ekholm, saved by Rittich
  5. P1 3:08Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Skinner
  6. P1 4:45Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Duclair, Pulock, Barzal · EDM Ekholm, Mangiapane, McDavid, Bouchard, Tomasek

  7. P1 5:03McDavid: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard, Tomasek

  8. P1 5:38Shot by Drouin, saved by Skinner4v4
  9. P1 10:36Shot by Mayfield, saved by Skinner
  10. P1 10:38Shot by Lee, saved by Skinner
  11. P1 10:41Shot by Shabanov, saved by Skinner
  12. P1 13:45Shot by Ekholm, saved by Rittich
  13. P1 14:05Shot by Roslovic, saved by Rittich
  14. P1 14:57Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Skinner
  15. P1 16:23Goal by Barzal, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Drouin, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal · EDM Ekholm, Mangiapane, McDavid, Bouchard, Tomasek

  16. P1 17:20Mayfield: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Schaefer, Shabanov · EDM Henrique, Kulak, Emberson, Howard, Savoie

  17. P1 17:30Shot by Tomasek, saved by Rittich4v5
  18. P1 17:40Goal by Draisaitl (McDavid, Tomasek)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard, Tomasek

  19. P1 18:46Shot by Duclair, saved by Skinner
  20. P1 19:14Shot by Duclair, saved by Skinner
  21. P1 19:14Shot by Duclair, saved by Skinner
  22. P1 19:49Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Rittich
  23. P1 19:51Shot by Roslovic, saved by Rittich
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:48Shot by Nurse, saved by Rittich
  27. P2 1:09Shot by Nurse, saved by Rittich
  28. P2 2:06Shot by McDavid, saved by Rittich
  29. P2 2:54Shot by Kulak, saved by Rittich
  30. P2 3:13Shot by Stecher, saved by Rittich
  31. P2 3:38Shot by Horvat, saved by Skinner
  32. P2 4:33Shot by Frederic, saved by Rittich
  33. P2 7:23Shot by Pelech, saved by Skinner
  34. P2 8:19Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Skinner
  35. P2 8:53Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (Emberson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Schaefer, Shabanov · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Kulak, Draisaitl, Roslovic, Emberson

  36. P2 10:26Shot by Horvat, saved by Skinner
  37. P2 10:27Shot by Horvat, saved by Skinner
  38. P2 11:00Shot by Henrique, saved by Rittich
  39. P2 11:14Tomasek: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Mayfield, Duclair, Barzal, Schaefer · EDM Henrique, Kulak, Emberson, Howard, Tomasek

  40. P2 11:17Shot by Bouchard, saved by Rittich5v4
  41. P2 12:27Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Rittich5v4
  42. P2 12:53Shot by Palmieri, saved by Skinner5v4
  43. P2 13:55Shot by Podkolzin, saved by Rittich
  44. P2 13:56Shot by Frederic, saved by Rittich
  45. P2 17:01Romanov: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Drouin, DeAngelo, Barzal, Romanov · EDM Ekholm, Draisaitl, Mangiapane, McDavid, Bouchard, Savoie

  46. P2 17:33Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Rittich4v5
  47. P2 17:46Shot by McDavid, saved by Rittich4v5
  48. P2 17:56Goal by Horvat (Pageau, Pulock)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard, Tomasek

  49. P2 18:19Shot by McDavid, saved by Rittich4v5
  50. P2 18:50Shot by McDavid, saved by Rittich4v5
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 2:19Shot by Ekholm, saved by Rittich
  54. P3 2:20Shot by Savoie, saved by Rittich
  55. P3 2:27Ekholm: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Duclair, Horvat, Pulock, DeAngelo · EDM Ekholm, Mangiapane, McDavid, Bouchard, Savoie

  56. P3 4:11Heineman: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Lee, Duclair, Heineman, Schaefer, Shabanov · EDM Nurse, McDavid, Bouchard, Savoie

  57. P3 7:20Shot by Roslovic, saved by Rittich
  58. P3 8:31Shot by Romanov, saved by Skinner
  59. P3 9:02Shot by Mayfield, saved by Skinner
  60. P3 11:18Stecher: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Drouin, Horvat, DeAngelo, Barzal, Romanov, Heineman · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Draisaitl, Roslovic, Stecher

  61. P3 11:47Shot by Horvat, saved by Skinner5v4
  62. P3 13:02Shot by Heineman, saved by Skinner5v4
  63. P3 13:52Shot by McDavid, saved by Rittich
  64. P3 14:30Shot by Kapanen, saved by Rittich
  65. P3 15:07Frederic: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Schaefer, Shabanov · EDM Nurse, Kapanen, Frederic, Stecher, Podkolzin

  66. P3 15:14Goal by Horvat (Barzal, Schaefer)5v4+43 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Drouin, Horvat, Barzal, Schaefer · EDM Henrique, Kulak, Emberson, Savoie

  67. P3 15:25Shot by Pulock, saved by Skinner
  68. P3 16:42Shot by Roslovic, saved by Rittich
  69. P3 17:02Shot by Bouchard, saved by Rittich
  70. P3 18:51Shot by Bouchard, saved by Rittich5v6
  71. P3 18:57Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Rittich5v6
  72. P3 19:51Goal by Horvat (Drouin, Heineman)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Drouin, Horvat, Pulock, Heineman · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Draisaitl, Mangiapane, McDavid, Bouchard

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final