Thu, Oct 16, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Edmonton Oilers 2, New York Islanders 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 58% of the time.
51%
34%
NYI winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 25:22 | 0.53 | 66.3% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 25:20 | 0.55 | 45.9% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 24:19 | 0.10 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:13 | 0.16 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:29 | 0.06 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 20:46 | 0.60 | 64.7% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.01 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.07 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.05 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 68.6% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 13:13 | 0.43 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.49 | 52.9% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.06 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.18 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:06 | 0.01 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:36 | 0.27 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.13 | 79.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:19 | 0.03 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.89 | −0.1 | 57:36 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 24:31 | 0.32 | 60.7% | +61.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:14 | 0.07 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:57 | 0.47 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.04 | 55.6% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.04 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 18:45 | 1.58 | 82.9% | +66.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.29 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.12 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.10 | 36.9% | +43.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.08 | 65.9% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.01 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 27.5% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.19 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.67 | 45.9% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.03 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.22 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:46 | 0.00 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.71 | +1.7 | 59:58 |