Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 18, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.

CBJ winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Shot by Holmberg, saved by Greaves
  3. P1 1:01Moser: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Monahan, Werenski, Marchenko, Johnson · TBL McDonagh, Hedman, Hagel, Holmberg, Moser

  4. P1 1:01Voronkov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Monahan, Werenski, Marchenko, Johnson · TBL McDonagh, Hedman, Hagel, Holmberg, Moser

  5. P1 1:01Jenner: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Monahan, Werenski, Marchenko, Johnson · TBL McDonagh, Hedman, Hagel, Holmberg, Moser

  6. P1 2:11Shot by Hagel, saved by Greaves4v5
  7. P1 3:10Olivier: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Severson, Provorov, Olivier, Sillinger · TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Douglas, Chaffee, Finley

  8. P1 3:10Douglas: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Severson, Provorov, Olivier, Sillinger · TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Douglas, Chaffee, Finley

  9. P1 4:58Goal by Johnson (Jenner, Fantilli)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Werenski, Fabbro, Johnson, Fantilli · TBL McDonagh, Point, Cernak, Hagel, Goncalves

  10. P1 6:13Geekie: Too many men on the ice (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CBJ Monahan, Fabbro, Aston-Reese, Lundeström, Christiansen, Chinakhov · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Goncalves, Moser

  11. P1 6:55Shot by Cirelli, saved by Greaves5v4
  12. P1 7:23Shot by Marchenko, saved by Johansson5v4
  13. P1 8:13Shot by Provorov, saved by Johansson
  14. P1 8:35Shot by Fantilli, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 8:37Shot by Provorov, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 8:47Shot by Jenner, saved by Johansson
  17. P1 9:53Shot by Christiansen, saved by Johansson
  18. P1 10:02Shot by Sillinger, saved by Johansson
  19. P1 10:08Shot by Marchenko, saved by Johansson
  20. P1 11:08Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Johansson
  21. P1 11:49Shot by Point, saved by Greaves
  22. P1 12:15Shot by Jenner, saved by Johansson
  23. P1 12:42Goal by McDonagh (Holmberg, Cernak)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Fabbro, Christiansen, Johnson, Fantilli · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Cernak, Holmberg

  24. P1 16:06Sillinger: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Severson, Provorov, Olivier, Sillinger · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Holmberg, Moser

  25. P1 16:22Goal by Cirelli (Guentzel, Hedman)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Monahan, Provorov, Fabbro · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Cirelli

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:07Shot by Johnson, saved by Johansson
  29. P2 4:47Shot by Fantilli, saved by Johansson
  30. P2 5:01Shot by Marchenko, saved by Johansson
  31. P2 6:09Shot by Olivier, saved by Johansson
  32. P2 8:08Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Johansson
  33. P2 9:46Jenner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Werenski, Johnson, Mateychuk, Fantilli · TBL Raddysh, Douglas, Chaffee, Finley, Lilleberg

  34. P2 13:26Shot by Provorov, saved by Johansson
  35. P2 13:49Shot by Cirelli, saved by Greaves
  36. P2 13:59Goal by Severson (Olivier, Coyle)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Severson, Provorov, Olivier, Sillinger · TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Goncalves, Geekie

  37. P2 15:05Shot by Monahan, saved by Johansson
  38. P2 15:33Shot by Mateychuk, saved by Johansson
  39. P2 15:54Shot by Mateychuk, saved by Johansson
  40. P2 16:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Johansson
  41. P2 16:37Shot by Raddysh, saved by Greaves
  42. P2 16:49Lilleberg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Fabbro, Aston-Reese, Lundeström, Christiansen, Chinakhov · TBL Raddysh, Douglas, Chaffee, Finley, Lilleberg

  43. P2 18:43Shot by Jenner, saved by Johansson5v4
  44. P2 18:44Shot by Fantilli, saved by Johansson5v4
  45. P2 19:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Greaves
  46. P2 19:35Shot by Sillinger, saved by Johansson
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:15Goal by Marchenko (Voronkov, Werenski)+31 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Monahan, Werenski, Marchenko, Voronkov, Mateychuk · TBL McDonagh, Point, Cernak, Hagel, Goncalves

  50. P3 3:09Guentzel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Werenski, Johnson, Mateychuk, Fantilli · TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Point, Cernak, Hagel

  51. P3 3:09Fantilli: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Werenski, Johnson, Mateychuk, Fantilli · TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Point, Cernak, Hagel

  52. P3 3:27Shot by Marchenko, saved by Johansson4v4
  53. P3 5:49Shot by Geekie, saved by Greaves
  54. P3 5:56Shot by Hedman, saved by Greaves
  55. P3 7:18Shot by Guentzel, saved by Greaves
  56. P3 9:32Shot by Hagel, saved by Greaves
  57. P3 9:40Shot by Moser, saved by Greaves
  58. P3 10:08Shot by Coyle, saved by Johansson
  59. P3 11:07Shot by Cirelli, saved by Greaves
  60. P3 11:38Shot by Guentzel, saved by Greaves
  61. P3 12:11Shot by Holmberg, saved by Greaves
  62. P3 13:36Shot by Provorov, saved by Johansson
  63. P3 13:40Shot by Mateychuk, saved by Johansson
  64. P3 14:39Shot by Sillinger, saved by Johansson
  65. P3 18:39Shot by Guentzel, saved by Greaves5v6
  66. P3 19:20Shot by Hagel, saved by Greaves5v6
  67. P3 19:21Shot by Guentzel, saved by Greaves5v6
  68. P3 19:23Shot by Guentzel, saved by Greaves5v6
  69. P3 19:23Shot by Guentzel, saved by Greaves5v6
  70. P3 19:23Shot by Guentzel, saved by Greaves5v6
  71. P3 19:50Shot by Hagel, saved by Greaves5v6
  72. P3 0:00Hagel: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CBJ Werenski, Provorov, Olivier, Lundeström, Sillinger · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  73. P3 0:00Olivier: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CBJ Werenski, Provorov, Olivier, Lundeström, Sillinger · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  74. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  75. P3 0:00Final4v5