Sat, Oct 18, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.
28%
8%
8%
55%
CBJ winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:23 | 0.26 | 41.1% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:06 | 0.79 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:06 | 0.24 | 37.0% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:24 | 0.01 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20:46 | 1.53 | 42.0% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:09 | 0.17 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.07 | 25.3% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.09 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.04 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.01 | 35.0% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.01 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.00 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.14 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:49 | 0.15 | 43.7% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:40 | 0.00 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:14 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:05 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.73 | −0.3 | 57:57 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 25:02 | 0.08 | 62.8% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 24:48 | 0.18 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:22 | 0.15 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.16 | 66.8% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.05 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.07 | 81.2% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.32 | 76.2% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.30 | 80.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:30 | 0.41 | 65.8% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.01 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.12 | 74.4% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:02 | 0.37 | 77.7% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 61.3% | +31.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:51 | 0.23 | 72.7% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.05 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:26 | 0.00 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:22 | 0.07 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:47 | 0.16 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 3.52 | +1.5 | 59:53 |