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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 18, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.

CBJ winsTBL wins

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Victor HedmanD · #770110224:230.2641.1%+16.1
Brandon HagelLW · #38000−2423:060.7935.6%0.0
Anthony CirelliC · #71101−1423:060.2437.0%+16.1
J.J. MoserD · #900000121:240.0136.5%0.0
Jake GuentzelC · #590110720:461.5342.0%+16.1
Brayden PointC · #21000−2120:090.1736.2%0.0
Ryan McDonaghD · #27101−2119:550.0725.3%+16.6
Darren RaddyshD · #430000118:560.0930.4%0.0
Yanni GourdeC · #37000+1017:370.0443.1%0.0
Erik CernakD · #81011−2016:580.0135.0%+16.6
Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22000+1014:390.0134.6%0.0
Emil LillebergD · #780000014:360.0034.9%0.0
Conor GeekieC · #14000−1113:490.1419.8%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29011+1213:490.1543.7%+16.6
Gage GoncalvesC · #93000−3011:510.0014.8%0.0
Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41000008:400.0048.9%0.0
Jack FinleyC · #62000007:140.0037.9%0.0
Curtis DouglasC · #42000005:050.0020.8%0.0
Jonas Johansson#31L31283.9032.73−0.357:57

Columbus Blue Jackets

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Zach WerenskiD · #8011+2025:020.0862.8%+31.0
Ivan ProvorovD · #9000+1424:480.1868.7%0.0
Denton MateychukD · #5000+1321:220.1560.5%0.0
Damon SeversonD · #78101+1119:320.1666.8%+18.9
Sean MonahanC · #23000+1119:170.0566.2%0.0
Charlie CoyleC · #3011+1118:340.0781.2%+18.9
Boone JennerC · #380110318:270.3276.2%+13.1
Cole SillingerC · #4000+1318:110.3080.2%0.0
Kirill MarchenkoRW · #86101+1517:300.4165.8%+31.0
Dante FabbroD · #150000016:510.0171.5%0.0
Mathieu OlivierRW · #24011+1115:380.1274.4%+18.9
Adam FantilliC · #190110315:020.3777.7%+13.1
Dmitri VoronkovLW · #10011+1014:430.0061.3%+31.0
Kent JohnsonC · #911010313:510.2372.7%+13.1
Jake ChristiansenD · #2000−1110:280.0564.8%0.0
Isac LundeströmC · #21000009:260.0033.1%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #27000018:220.0732.2%0.0
Egor ChinakhovRW · #59000016:470.1640.2%0.0
Jet Greaves#73W24222.9173.52+1.559:53