Tue, Oct 21, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Edmonton Oilers 3, Ottawa Senators 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 61% of the time.
29%
10%
11%
50%
OTT winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:09 | 0.27 | 60.4% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:13 | 0.28 | 68.0% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:11 | 0.16 | 60.4% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.09 | 67.3% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.01 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:50 | 0.00 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:51 | 0.08 | 42.8% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.12 | 66.0% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.45 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.13 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.02 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.20 | 71.3% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.15 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.08 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.03 | 13.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:42 | 0.17 | 44.5% | +14.6 |
| W | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.70 | −0.3 | 62:24 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:22 | 0.10 | 47.8% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:53 | 0.09 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:28 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:03 | 0.05 | 15.3% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.06 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.04 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.01 | 31.4% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.14 | 11.8% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.01 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.20 | 83.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:35 | 0.32 | 96.2% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:56 | 0.13 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:50 | 0.36 | 93.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.01 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.10 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.08 | 1.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.24 | −0.8 | 62:24 |