Thu, Oct 23, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Philadelphia Flyers 1, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 61% of the time.
30%
10%
10%
50%
OTT winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:46 | 0.08 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:11 | 0.12 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:53 | 0.05 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:23 | 0.27 | 48.8% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.04 | 60.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.34 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.05 | 78.4% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.22 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.38 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:50 | 0.23 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.42 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:08 | 0.19 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:26 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:12 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:06 | 0.04 | 17.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 1.89 | −0.1 | 58:12 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:55 | 0.05 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:52 | 0.30 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:43 | 0.16 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.01 | 45.1% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:51 | 0.14 | 40.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.14 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.16 | 42.8% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.10 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.10 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:23 | 0.19 | 40.2% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.00 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.00 | 53.2% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:37 | 0.06 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:13 | 0.06 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 7:37 | 0.42 | 56.9% | +21.4 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 2.42 | +1.4 | 60:00 |