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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington

Ottawa Senators 7, Washington Capitals 1

Away

Ottawa Senators

7

Final

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Washington Capitals

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 94% of the time.

WSH winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:58Goal by Cozens (Zub, Perron)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Duhaime, Fehérváry · OTT Perron, Chabot, Cozens, Greig, Zub

  3. P1 3:05Matinpalo: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH McIlrath, Chychrun, Sourdif, Lapierre, Leonard · OTT Eller, MacDermid, Zetterlund, Kleven, Matinpalo

  4. P1 4:43Shot by Stützle, saved by Lindgren5v4
  5. P1 7:42Wilson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Dubois, Fehérváry, McMichael · OTT Giroux, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  6. P1 7:54Shot by Perron, saved by Lindgren4v5
  7. P1 8:26Shot by Carlson, saved by Ullmark4v5
  8. P1 9:30Shot by Cozens, saved by Lindgren4v5
  9. P1 11:18Shot by Greig, saved by Lindgren
  10. P1 11:33Shot by Batherson, saved by Lindgren
  11. P1 13:36Shot by Perron, saved by Lindgren
  12. P1 13:47Shot by Wilson, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 16:29MacDermid: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Chychrun, Dubois, Lapierre, Leonard · OTT Perron, MacDermid, Cozens, Kleven, Matinpalo

  14. P1 16:29Dubois: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Chychrun, Dubois, Lapierre, Leonard · OTT Perron, MacDermid, Cozens, Kleven, Matinpalo

  15. P1 18:12Shot by Cozens, saved by Lindgren4v4
  16. P1 18:39Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:58Shot by Stützle, saved by Lindgren
  20. P2 3:25Shot by Pinto, saved by Lindgren
  21. P2 3:27Goal by Pinto, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Roy, Chychrun, McMichael, Protas · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub

  22. P2 3:27Ovechkin: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Roy, Chychrun, McMichael, Protas · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub

  23. P2 4:27Goal by Cozens (Batherson, Stützle)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, Protas · OTT Batherson, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle

  24. P2 6:02Shot by Cozens, saved by Lindgren
  25. P2 6:22Goal by Cousins (Stützle)+4 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Dubois, Duhaime · OTT Cousins, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  26. P2 11:04Shot by Lapierre, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 11:20Duhaime: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Roy, Chychrun, Duhaime, Lapierre · OTT Perron, Cousins, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub

  28. P2 11:20Cousins: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Roy, Chychrun, Duhaime, Lapierre · OTT Perron, Cousins, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub

  29. P2 12:11Shot by Wilson, saved by Ullmark4v4
  30. P2 12:29Pinto: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Chychrun, McMichael · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Pinto, Greig

  31. P2 14:55Shot by Pinto, saved by Lindgren
  32. P2 15:09Shot by MacDermid, saved by Lindgren
  33. P2 16:12Shot by Jensen, saved by Lindgren
  34. P2 17:45Shot by Zub, saved by Lindgren
  35. P2 17:59Shot by Dubois, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 19:25Shot by Cozens, saved by Lindgren
  37. P2 19:27Ullmark: Goalie leave crease (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Leonard · OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Cozens, Greig

  38. P2 19:27Lindgren: Goalie leave crease (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Leonard · OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Cozens, Greig

  39. P2 19:27Fehérváry: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Leonard · OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Cozens, Greig

  40. P2 19:27Fehérváry: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Leonard · OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Cozens, Greig

  41. P2 19:27Greig: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Leonard · OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Cozens, Greig

  42. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:52Shot by Cozens, saved by Lindgren4v5
  45. P3 0:54Shot by Batherson, saved by Lindgren4v5
  46. P3 0:55Goal by Batherson (Cozens, Giroux)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Roy, Protas · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle

  47. P3 1:05Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lindgren
  48. P3 1:21Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lindgren
  49. P3 1:54Shot by Pinto, saved by Lindgren
  50. P3 3:04Shot by Dubois, saved by Ullmark
  51. P3 3:08Shot by Protas, saved by Ullmark
  52. P3 5:02Shot by Leonard, saved by Ullmark
  53. P3 5:04Goal by van Riemsdyk (Leonard, Dowd)0 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Duhaime, Fehérváry, Leonard · OTT Jensen, MacDermid, Batherson, Cozens, Sanderson

  54. P3 8:12Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lindgren
  55. P3 9:17Sourdif: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Beauvillier, Roy, Chychrun, Protas, Leonard · OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Cozens, Pinto, Stützle

  56. P3 9:47Goal by Chabot (Giroux, Perron)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Roy, Duhaime, Fehérváry · OTT Giroux, Perron, Eller, Chabot, Pinto

  57. P3 10:36Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 11:13Shot by Amadio, saved by Lindgren
  59. P3 11:35Shot by Amadio, saved by Lindgren
  60. P3 12:20Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lindgren
  61. P3 13:14Shot by Roy, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 13:18Shot by Roy, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 14:22Goal by Batherson (Sanderson, Zub)0 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Leonard · OTT Zetterlund, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  64. P3 15:10Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lindgren
  65. P3 19:12Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lindgren
  66. P3 19:13Shot by Jensen, saved by Lindgren
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final