Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Ottawa Senators 7, Washington Capitals 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 94% of the time.
91%
WSH winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Giroux–Amadio–Pinto | Perron–Cozens–Greig | Eller–Cousins–Zetterlund | Cousins–Batherson–Stützle | Eller–MacDermid–Zetterlund | Eller–Zetterlund–Greig | Perron–Cousins–Cozens | Perron–Amadio–Cozens | Jensen–Chabot | Kleven–Matinpalo | Sanderson–Zub | Jensen–Sanderson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dowd–Beauvillier–Duhaime | 1:350.00–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 1:200.00–0.20 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 2:550.00–0.03 | 1:380.00–0.20 | ||||||
| Wilson–Dubois–Protas | 2:110.16–0.01 | 1:040.04–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 2:260.04–0.00 | 2:100.16–0.01 | |||||||
| Beauvillier–Sourdif–Lapierre | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.05 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Wilson–Dubois–McMichael | 1:400.02–0.20 | 1:030.02–0.14 | 2:210.04–0.34 | |||||||||
| Sourdif–Lapierre–Leonard | 0:440.06–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:100.09–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Ovechkin–McMichael–Leonard | 0:300.00–0.09 | 1:100.00–0.07 | 1:340.00–0.17 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Ovechkin–Sourdif–Leonard | 0:450.15–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.05 | 1:580.15–0.19 | |||||||||
| Dowd–Duhaime–Leonard | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.27 | 1:530.00–0.27 | |||||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | 1:360.00–0.22 | 1:110.00–0.22 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Dowd–Wilson–Protas | 1:020.00–0.09 | 0:360.00–0.09 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Dowd–Duhaime–Sourdif | 0:310.00–0.07 | 0:350.00–0.07 | ||||||||||
| Ovechkin–Protas–Lapierre | 0:310.05–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 4:490.24–1.01 | 2:570.14–0.20 | 1:460.10–0.17 | 3:550.06–0.13 | 2:340.04–0.10 | 4:240.20–1.39 | ||||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 3:090.15–0.22 | 2:410.00–0.14 | 0:590.00–0.08 | 2:010.02–0.27 | 5:390.20–0.78 | 1:470.00–0.15 | 3:010.02–0.22 | |||||
| McIlrath–van Riemsdyk | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.10 | 2:130.00–0.12 | 2:020.00–0.13 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 2:080.00–0.05 | 4:260.02–0.20 | 2:060.00–0.10 | ||||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 0:380.06–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:300.06–0.00 | ||||||||
| McIlrath–Chychrun | 0:380.00–0.07 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.08 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| McIlrath–Fehérváry | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Roy | 0:410.03–0.23 | 0:330.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 23 | 24:46 | 1:05 | 2:25 | 3 | 1 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 25 | 22:24 | 0:54 | 1:25 | 2 | 3 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 27 | 21:49 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 1 | 5 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 24 | 21:21 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 0 | 0 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 25 | 21:06 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 2 | 3 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 22 | 21:05 | 0:58 | 1:42 | 3 | 1 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 24 | 19:46 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 3 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 28 | 19:44 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 2 | 2 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 22 | 19:23 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 1 | 1 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 21 | 18:24 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 3 | 1 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 26 | 18:23 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 24 | 18:12 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 1 | 5 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 23 | 17:58 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 19 | 17:44 | 0:56 | 2:10 | 4 | 0 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 20 | 16:32 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 0 | 4 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 21 | 16:32 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 0 | 4 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 22 | 16:01 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 5 | 4 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 27 | 16:01 | 0:36 | 1:14 | 5 | 3 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 25 | 15:44 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 4 | 2 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 23 | 15:42 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 David PerronOTT | 23 | 15:41 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 19 | 15:05 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 18 | 14:58 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 1 | 4 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 22 | 14:47 | 0:40 | 1:28 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 20 | 14:36 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 3 | 0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 20 | 14:28 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 3 | 4 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 16 | 14:24 | 0:54 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 24 | 14:22 | 0:36 | 1:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 23 | 14:22 | 0:37 | 1:13 | 3 | 3 |
 Dylan McIlrathWSH | 19 | 14:05 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 2 | 5 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 17 | 13:56 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 19 | 13:42 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 0 | 4 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 19 | 11:47 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 3 | 0 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 16 | 11:23 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 2 | 3 |
 Kurtis MacDermidOTT | 11 | 5:05 | 0:28 | 1:01 | 3 | 1 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 4 | 2:34 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 2 | 0 |