Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Ottawa Senators 7, Washington Capitals 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 94% of the time.
91%
WSH winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:24 | 0.16 | 77.3% | +0.2 |
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.00 | 75.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:06 | 0.11 | 67.3% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 19:44 | 0.78 | 55.5% | +23.9 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.05 | 87.2% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.01 | 82.7% | +14.7 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:58 | 1.25 | 74.8% | +16.7 |
 Lars EllerC · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.13 | 96.2% | 0.0 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.00 | 67.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 64.4% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.22 | 73.6% | +1.0 |
 David PerronLW · #57 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.27 | 74.3% | +14.9 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 14:28 | 0.54 | 94.1% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.44 | 79.9% | +12.9 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.16 | 78.8% | +4.5 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.09 | 73.4% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 11:47 | 0.66 | 60.6% | +9.2 |
 Kurtis MacDermidLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:05 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | W | 13 | 12 | 1 | .923 | 1.55 | +0.6 | 59:15 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jakob ChychrunD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:46 | 0.04 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt RoyD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.04 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
 John CarlsonD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.07 | 23.0% | 0.0 |
 Martin FehérváryD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:46 | 0.05 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
 Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.04 | 21.6% | 0.0 |
 Tom WilsonRW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.12 | 48.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex OvechkinLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.22 | 13.2% | 0.0 |
 Nic DowdC · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.07 | 36.7% | +0.5 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.09 | 32.1% | +0.5 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisC · #80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.18 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.06 | 7.1% | 0.0 |
 Connor McMichaelLW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.01 | 3.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LeonardRW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.27 | 38.9% | +0.5 |
 Justin SourdifC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.21 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
 Dylan McIlrathD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.01 | 4.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon DuhaimeRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0 |
 Hendrix LapierreC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.06 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Dylan StromeC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:34 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Charlie Lindgren#79 | L | 34 | 27 | 7 | .794 | 4.89 | −2.1 | 59:55 |