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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 28, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Nashville Predators 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 93% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:30Shot by Perbix, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  4. P1 1:32Point: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Perbix, Wood · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak

  5. P1 2:08Shot by Wood, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  6. P1 2:39Shot by Marchessault, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  7. P1 2:43Shot by Marchessault, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  8. P1 2:56Shot by Stamkos, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  9. P1 3:47Shot by Point, saved by Saros
  10. P1 3:49Wilsby: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH O'Reilly, Haula, Hague, Evangelista, Wilsby · TBL Hedman, Point, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  11. P1 5:35Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros4v5
  12. P1 5:50Shot by James, saved by Saros
  13. P1 6:52Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros
  14. P1 7:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
  15. P1 10:10Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Saros
  16. P1 10:31Goal by Girgensons (Holmberg, Gourde)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Stamkos, Haula, Jost, Stastney, Barron · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Lilleberg

  17. P1 10:56Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  18. P1 14:42Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 14:54Shot by Wiesblatt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 15:26Shot by Holmberg, saved by Saros
  21. P1 15:29Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros
  22. P1 17:27Shot by D'Astous, saved by Saros5v6
  23. P1 17:28Haula: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Haula, Skjei, Bunting, Perbix, Evangelista · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg

  24. P1 19:34Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
  25. P1 19:35Shot by Holmberg, saved by Saros
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:44Shot by McDonagh, saved by Saros
  29. P2 2:19Shot by Haula, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 3:28Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
  31. P2 3:58Shot by Douglas, saved by Saros
  32. P2 4:20Shot by Gourde, saved by Saros
  33. P2 11:34Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Saros
  34. P2 12:32Shot by James, saved by Saros
  35. P2 13:14Shot by Holmberg, saved by Saros
  36. P2 13:29Stastney: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Haula, Marchessault, Skjei, Forsberg, Stastney · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Lilleberg

  37. P2 14:20Shot by Haula, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  38. P2 15:09Shot by James, saved by Saros4v5
  39. P2 15:11Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros4v5
  40. P2 15:14Shot by Goncalves, saved by Saros4v5
  41. P2 15:33Shot by James, saved by Saros
  42. P2 15:37Goal by Hagel (Cirelli)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH O'Reilly, Marchessault, Skjei, Perbix, Stastney · TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Goncalves, James

  43. P2 19:15Evangelista: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Stamkos, Marchessault, Hague, Stastney, Smith · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Moser

  44. P2 19:37Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros4v5
  45. P2 19:54Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  46. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 3:00D'Astous: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Haula, Bunting, Hague, Perbix, Wood · TBL Hedman, Hagel, D'Astous, Douglas, Lilleberg

  49. P3 3:00Bunting: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Haula, Bunting, Hague, Perbix, Wood · TBL Hedman, Hagel, D'Astous, Douglas, Lilleberg

  50. P3 3:16Shot by Moser, saved by Saros4v4
  51. P3 3:28Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros4v4
  52. P3 3:45James: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NSH Forsberg, Perbix, Barron, Evangelista · TBL Hedman, Hagel, Moser, James

  53. P3 4:15Shot by Stamkos, saved by Vasilevskiy4v3
  54. P3 5:03Shot by Haula, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  55. P3 5:05Goal by Evangelista (Haula, Skjei)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Haula, Skjei, Bunting, Evangelista, Wood · TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, D'Astous

  56. P3 6:14Shot by Marchessault, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 7:58Goal by D'Astous (Point, Kucherov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Haula, Marchessault, Hague, Smith, Barron · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg

  58. P3 9:50Cernak: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NSH O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Stastney, Evangelista · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Cernak, Holmberg, James

  59. P3 10:34Shot by Wood, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  60. P3 12:26Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
  61. P3 15:47Forsberg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg, Perbix, Barron · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Guentzel, Holmberg, Moser

  62. P3 15:47Moser: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg, Perbix, Barron · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Guentzel, Holmberg, Moser

  63. P3 16:18Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  64. P3 17:21Shot by Stamkos, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  65. P3 17:51Shot by Evangelista, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  66. P3 17:54Goal by Forsberg (Evangelista, Haula)6v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Haula, Forsberg, Bunting, Barron, Evangelista, Wood · TBL Hedman, Girgensons, Guentzel, Moser, Lilleberg

  67. P3 19:07Goal by Kucherov (Hagel, Cirelli)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Haula, Skjei, Forsberg, Bunting, Evangelista, Wood · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  68. P3 19:33Goal by Girgensons (Holmberg, Cernak)0 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Jost, Perbix, Stastney, Smith, Wiesblatt · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg

  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final