Tue, Oct 28, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Nashville Predators 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 93% of the time.
91%
NSH winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 23:55 | 1.01 | 98.8% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.07 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:30 | 0.83 | 98.8% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 0.07 | 88.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:57 | 0.89 | 69.1% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.01 | 73.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.09 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.31 | 75.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.13 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.26 | 97.1% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.03 | 95.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.01 | 82.4% | +15.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.43 | 95.9% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 12:32 | 0.31 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.07 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 11:38 | 0.40 | 82.3% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.17 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:37 | 0.07 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 1.78 | −0.2 | 59:49 |
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 26:55 | 0.20 | 25.5% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:57 | 0.16 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:19 | 0.00 | 13.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:12 | 0.00 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.04 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.03 | 27.7% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.01 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.15 | 5.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.49 | 4.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 14:04 | 0.27 | 16.1% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 10.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.14 | 3.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.27 | 44.1% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:28 | 0.04 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:36 | 0.00 | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 3.26 | −0.7 | 57:30 |