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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 2, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Columbus Blue Jackets 2, New York Islanders 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 77% of the time.

NYI winsCBJ wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CBJ's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Coyle–Olivier–SillingerMonahan–Marchenko–VoronkovJenner–Wood–FantilliAston-Reese–Lundeström–JohnsonOlivier–Lundeström–SillingerJenner–Marchenko–FantilliWood–Aston-Reese–FantilliOlivier–Sillinger–FantilliSeverson–ProvorovWerenski–MateychukFabbro–ChristiansenWerenski–FabbroWerenski–Provorov
Horvat–Barzal–Heineman0:320.05–0.009:221.36–0.690:340.03–0.014:140.15–0.364:460.58–0.441:140.51–0.001:200.20–0.00
Lee–Pageau–Holmstrom2:090.00–0.005:450.45–0.100:350.13–0.084:330.44–0.053:000.53–0.081:120.06–0.001:210.00–0.10
Palmieri–Drouin–Ritchie7:240.34–0.001:590.08–0.100:340.02–0.004:390.36–0.000:500.00–0.103:490.08–0.000:340.00–0.00
Cizikas–Duclair–MacLean0:480.00–0.055:140.15–0.150:550.00–0.001:130.15–0.002:480.00–0.202:420.00–0.00
Lee–Drouin–Ritchie1:030.00–0.121:270.00–0.12
Pelech–Pulock1:170.00–0.006:400.63–0.481:380.00–0.101:460.03–0.006:210.51–0.215:010.58–0.381:090.03–0.001:400.00–0.00
DeAngelo–Romanov6:350.24–0.050:490.00–0.062:000.56–0.001:250.00–0.030:480.02–0.005:120.32–0.003:020.40–0.253:200.06–0.001:010.05–0.00
Mayfield–Schaefer2:500.15–0.004:190.08–0.102:110.15–0.010:330.14–0.004:310.44–0.011:480.00–0.003:120.08–0.001:000.00–0.10
Mayfield–Romanov0:530.00–0.000:450.00–0.120:350.13–0.081:470.13–0.190:380.00–0.001:020.15–0.12
DeAngelo–Schaefer0:490.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:540.00–0.191:190.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBarzal FHorvat FHeineman FPageau FHolmstrom FLee FPalmieri FRitchie FDrouin FCizikas FDuclair FMacLean FPelech DPulock DMayfield DSchaefer DDeAngelo DRomanov DRittich GVoronkov FMonahan FMarchenko FFantilli FJenner FWood FCoyle FSillinger FOlivier FLundeström FJohnson FAston-Reese FMateychuk DWerenski DProvorov DSeverson DChristiansen DFabbro DMerzlikins G
NYICBJFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach WerenskiCBJ2527:061:052:4932
Ivan ProvorovCBJ2424:201:012:0101
Damon SeversonCBJ2523:430:572:0021
Alexander RomanovNYI2221:380:592:1600
Adam PelechNYI2721:340:481:3415
Ryan PulockNYI2820:420:441:2725
Bo HorvatNYI2720:280:451:2822
Charlie CoyleCBJ2119:140:551:3424
Scott MayfieldNYI2519:080:461:5712
Tony DeAngeloNYI2118:430:531:2610
Cole SillingerCBJ2018:230:551:3124
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ1917:440:561:4140
Matthew SchaeferNYI2717:240:391:1422
Sean MonahanCBJ2117:180:491:2741
Mathieu OlivierCBJ1817:180:581:3523
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2316:480:441:1435
Kyle PalmieriNYI2016:470:501:1031
Dante FabbroCBJ1816:430:561:4222
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ2016:330:501:3540
Simon HolmstromNYI2216:320:451:1835
Adam FantilliCBJ1816:320:551:1421
Mathew BarzalNYI2216:120:441:1931
Anders LeeNYI1915:560:501:3132
Boone JennerCBJ1915:530:501:1721
Jonathan DrouinNYI1815:190:511:2431
Emil HeinemanNYI2114:240:411:2012
Calum RitchieNYI1613:560:521:2521
Denton MateychukCBJ1813:010:431:1203
Kent JohnsonCBJ1412:060:521:3521
Miles WoodCBJ1712:010:421:1321
Isac LundeströmCBJ1610:450:401:0311
Jake ChristiansenCBJ1310:400:491:1902
Kyle MacLeanNYI129:280:471:1310
Zachary Aston-ReeseCBJ149:080:390:5801
Casey CizikasNYI128:450:441:1710
Anthony DuclairNYI148:300:360:5910