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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 4, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Edmonton Oilers 3, Dallas Stars 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 69% of the time.

DAL winsEDM wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nugent-Hopkins–Mangiapane–McDavidDraisaitl–Roslovic–PodkolzinHenrique–Frederic–SavoiePhilp–Howard–TomasekDraisaitl–Mangiapane–McDavidFrederic–Howard–TomasekNugent-Hopkins–Roslovic–PodkolzinDraisaitl–McDavid–FredericNurse–WalmanEkholm–BouchardKulak–RegulaKulak–Bouchard
Rantanen–Robertson–Johnston1:310.52–0.006:120.59–0.642:010.00–0.012:060.05–0.137:381.11–0.563:380.02–0.302:010.08–0.01
Seguin–Steel–Bourque5:080.08–0.290:550.00–0.000:430.01–0.000:420.09–0.001:210.00–0.064:450.08–0.221:250.01–0.00
Blackwell–Bäck–Hryckowian2:000.00–0.151:130.00–0.000:300.00–0.002:530.00–0.15
Seguin–Steel–Bäck1:220.06–0.040:590.00–0.001:030.00–0.041:010.00–0.001:220.06–0.041:030.00–0.00
Erne–Bastian–Hryckowian0:450.00–0.000:520.00–0.100:520.00–0.101:250.00–0.00
Seguin–Blackwell–Steel1:530.00–0.191:090.00–0.150:340.00–0.00
Blackwell–Erne–Hryckowian0:340.00–0.000:330.00–0.080:480.00–0.080:380.00–0.00
Seguin–Erne–Bastian0:310.00–0.000:430.04–0.001:140.04–0.00
Robertson–Bourque–Johnston0:360.26–0.190:450.26–0.04
Bastian–Bäck–Hryckowian1:020.00–0.00
Steel–Bäck–Bourque0:480.00–0.00
Lindell–Heiskanen7:290.60–0.391:300.20–0.012:420.00–0.001:510.05–0.131:030.00–0.048:030.73–0.266:130.10–0.281:020.00–0.00
Lyubushkin–Harley1:340.00–0.156:450.44–0.730:390.00–0.004:320.37–0.265:230.06–0.560:470.00–0.00
Petrovic–Bichsel0:500.00–0.002:160.00–0.152:210.01–0.040:330.00–0.080:540.00–0.081:240.00–0.005:170.01–0.15
Petrovic–Capobianco1:130.00–0.010:340.00–0.000:420.19–0.001:370.00–0.01
Capobianco–Harley0:430.00–0.271:200.00–0.001:080.00–0.271:050.00–0.00
Harley–Bichsel0:490.09–0.000:450.00–0.07
Lindell–Harley0:350.00–0.00
Lyubushkin–Bichsel0:320.00–0.000:410.00–0.090:460.00–0.00
Heiskanen–Bichsel0:340.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndRobertson FJohnston FRantanen FSteel FBourque FSeguin FBlackwell FBäck FHryckowian FErne FBastian FLyubushkin DHarley DLindell DHeiskanen DBichsel DPetrovic DCapobianco DDeSmith GRoslovic FDraisaitl FPodkolzin FMcDavid FMangiapane FNugent-Hopkins FHenrique FSavoie FFrederic FHoward FTomasek FPhilp FNurse DWalman DBouchard DEkholm DRegula DKulak DSkinner G
DALEDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL2627:591:052:3534
Evan BouchardEDM3125:400:501:3334
Connor McDavidEDM2525:131:011:3951
Jake WalmanEDM2925:050:521:5834
Tyler SeguinDAL2624:520:571:3653
Jason RobertsonDAL2624:230:562:2632
Sam SteelDAL2524:160:581:3913
Leon DraisaitlEDM2824:160:521:3643
Thomas HarleyDAL2623:300:541:4031
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2623:290:541:4551
Darnell NurseEDM2722:550:511:4715
Mikko RantanenDAL2522:480:552:1941
Esa LindellDAL2422:410:571:5025
Mattias EkholmEDM2621:340:501:5025
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2220:170:551:4331
Andrew MangiapaneEDM2319:260:511:5621
Jack RoslovicEDM2418:050:451:3432
Vasily PodkolzinEDM2217:090:471:5002
Mavrik BourqueDAL1715:270:551:3841
Brett KulakEDM2115:030:431:2232
Oskar BäckDAL1914:460:471:2214
Ilya LyubushkinDAL1714:260:511:3622
Adam HenriqueEDM2314:110:371:4546
Trent FredericEDM1613:420:512:3552
Alec RegulaEDM1913:140:421:2122
Colin BlackwellDAL1913:070:411:0924
Lian BichselDAL1713:040:461:3312
Justin HryckowianDAL1812:410:421:0923
Alexander PetrovicDAL1512:190:491:1204
Matt SavoieEDM1811:440:391:4844
Isaac HowardEDM98:090:541:4210
Adam ErneDAL147:520:341:1521
Kyle CapobiancoDAL116:530:381:0631
Noah PhilpEDM106:280:390:5712
Nathan BastianDAL106:120:370:5730
David TomasekEDM76:120:531:2710