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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 6, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Washington Capitals 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Away

Washington Capitals

3

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.

PIT winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05McMichael: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Mantha, Novak, Shea · WSH Ovechkin, Roy, Chychrun, McMichael, Protas

  3. P1 1:21Shot by Rust, saved by Lindgren5v4
  4. P1 2:22Goal by Crosby (Kindel, Rust)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Kindel · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Roy, Protas

  5. P1 2:28Shot by Koppanen, saved by Lindgren
  6. P1 2:50Shot by Dewar, saved by Lindgren
  7. P1 2:52Shot by Lizotte, saved by Lindgren
  8. P1 7:03Shot by Milano, saved by Silovs
  9. P1 7:51Shot by Letang, saved by Lindgren
  10. P1 8:12Shot by Protas, saved by Silovs
  11. P1 8:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Lindgren
  12. P1 10:00Shot by Leonard, saved by Silovs
  13. P1 10:33Milano: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Mantha, Novak, Wotherspoon · WSH Carlson, Strome, Beauvillier, Sandin, Leonard

  14. P1 10:58Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lindgren5v4
  15. P1 11:31Shot by Rust, saved by Lindgren5v4
  16. P1 11:32Goal by Crosby (Rust, Karlsson)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Kindel · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Roy, Protas

  17. P1 12:15Shot by Sandin, saved by Silovs
  18. P1 13:54Lizotte: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Clifton, Graves, Mantha · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Leonard

  19. P1 14:23Shot by Chychrun, saved by Silovs4v5
  20. P1 15:39Shot by Letang, saved by Lindgren4v5
  21. P1 16:05Shot by Crosby, saved by Lindgren
  22. P1 16:07van Riemsdyk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Clifton, Graves, Lizotte · WSH van Riemsdyk, Milano, Sandin, McMichael, Leonard

  23. P1 16:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lindgren5v4
  24. P1 17:43Shot by Malkin, saved by Lindgren5v4
  25. P1 18:36Shot by Tomasino, saved by Lindgren
  26. P1 19:09Shot by Lizotte, saved by Lindgren
  27. P1 19:29Shot by Chychrun, saved by Silovs
  28. P1 19:53Shot by Chychrun, saved by Silovs
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:00Shot by Strome, saved by Silovs
  32. P2 1:03Shot by Strome, saved by Silovs
  33. P2 1:04Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Silovs
  34. P2 1:11Shot by Strome, saved by Silovs
  35. P2 1:19Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Silovs
  36. P2 1:26Shot by Carlson, saved by Silovs
  37. P2 2:06Shot by Novak, saved by Lindgren
  38. P2 2:08Goal by Mantha (Novak, Lizotte)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Graves, Mantha, Novak, Lizotte · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Beauvillier, Fehérváry, Sourdif

  39. P2 2:23van Riemsdyk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Clifton, Graves, Mantha, Novak · WSH van Riemsdyk, Milano, Sandin, Lapierre, Leonard

  40. P2 3:21Shot by Wilson, saved by Silovs5v4
  41. P2 4:25Shot by Koivunen, saved by Lindgren
  42. P2 5:00Shot by Sandin, saved by Silovs
  43. P2 5:43Shot by Dewar, saved by Lindgren
  44. P2 6:00Shot by Leonard, saved by Silovs
  45. P2 6:43Shot by Crosby, saved by Lindgren
  46. P2 7:06Shot by McMichael, saved by Silovs
  47. P2 7:33Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Silovs
  48. P2 9:41Goal by Strome (Ovechkin)+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Heinen, Wotherspoon, Tomasino · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Beauvillier, Fehérváry

  49. P2 10:18Shot by Rust, saved by Lindgren
  50. P2 12:39Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lindgren
  51. P2 12:51Shot by Chychrun, saved by Silovs
  52. P2 14:55Goal by Sandin (Strome, Ovechkin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Novak, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Sandin

  53. P2 19:55Goal by Wilson (Strome, Carlson)+30 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Clifton, Graves, Kindel · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:11Shot by Roy, saved by Silovs
  57. P3 1:10Shot by Strome, saved by Silovs
  58. P3 2:35Shot by Heinen, saved by Lindgren
  59. P3 3:42Shot by Crosby, saved by Lindgren
  60. P3 4:43Clifton: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Clifton, Graves, Mantha, Heinen · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Chychrun

  61. P3 5:05Shot by Dewar, saved by Lindgren4v5
  62. P3 6:09Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Silovs4v5
  63. P3 8:39Kindel: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Shea, Koivunen, Kindel · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Chychrun, Duhaime, Sourdif

  64. P3 9:12Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Silovs4v5
  65. P3 9:24Strome: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Dewar, Lizotte · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun

  66. P3 10:32Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Silovs4v4
  67. P3 11:16Goal by Rust (Malkin, Kindel)5v4+39 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Kindel · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Duhaime, Fehérváry

  68. P3 12:16Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Silovs
  69. P3 13:05Shot by Rust, saved by Lindgren
  70. P3 13:50Shot by Clifton, saved by Lindgren
  71. P3 15:35Shot by Chychrun, saved by Silovs
  72. P3 17:56Goal by Dewar (Letang)5v6+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Beauvillier, Chychrun

  73. P3 18:22Shot by Shea, saved by Lindgren
  74. P3 19:14Shot by Wilson, saved by Silovs5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  76. P3 0:00Final5v6