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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 6, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Washington Capitals 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.

PIT winsWSH wins

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jakob ChychrunD · #60000527:520.2356.8%0.0
John CarlsonD · #740110123:470.0264.9%+30.1
Dylan StromeC · #17123+2523:300.3770.2%+50.5
Tom WilsonRW · #431010321:470.5249.9%+30.1
Matt RoyD · #3000+1121:280.1033.1%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #8022+2221:200.5679.2%+20.5
Rasmus SandinD · #38101+1318:250.1365.1%+13.5
Anthony BeauvillierRW · #720000418:050.4468.0%0.0
Martin FehérváryD · #420000016:370.0048.5%0.0
Aliaksei ProtasLW · #210000115:500.0928.7%0.0
Connor McMichaelLW · #240000114:130.0844.0%0.0
Ryan LeonardRW · #90000213:240.0526.6%0.0
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #570000112:290.0136.4%0.0
Nic DowdC · #26000−1010:510.007.9%0.0
Sonny MilanoLW · #15000019:210.0624.5%0.0
Hendrix LapierreC · #29000009:180.0034.4%0.0
Brandon DuhaimeRW · #22000008:170.0035.9%0.0
Justin SourdifC · #34000−107:170.0028.2%0.0
Charlie Lindgren#79L30264.8673.36−0.658:01

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #65011−1324:340.2652.8%+11.6
Sidney CrosbyC · #87202−2622:030.3234.5%+22.6
Bryan RustRW · #17123−1521:360.7841.6%+61.2
Kris LetangD · #580110221:110.0031.3%+6.6
Ben KindelC · #81022−1020:480.1347.2%+49.6
Evgeni MalkinC · #71011+1118:220.219.7%+38.6
Ryan SheaD · #50000118:170.0526.7%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #28000−1016:510.0055.3%0.0
Connor CliftonD · #750000116:500.0163.7%0.0
Ryan GravesD · #270000015:590.0163.7%0.0
Connor DewarC · #191010415:210.7744.3%+6.6
Blake LizotteC · #46011+1213:590.3858.4%+7.9
Tommy NovakC · #180110113:540.3859.5%+7.9
Anthony ManthaRW · #39101+1112:020.2454.9%+7.9
Danton HeinenLW · #43000−1111:310.0834.6%0.0
Joona KoppanenLW · #150000111:270.0042.2%0.0
Ville KoivunenRW · #41000019:490.1560.6%0.0
Philip TomasinoRW · #53000−119:490.0048.7%0.0
Arturs Silovs#37W30273.9002.66−0.359:37