Thu, Nov 6, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Washington Capitals 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.
60%
25%
PIT winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27:52 | 0.23 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:47 | 0.02 | 64.9% | +30.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 23:30 | 0.37 | 70.2% | +50.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:47 | 0.52 | 49.9% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.10 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:20 | 0.56 | 79.2% | +20.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:25 | 0.13 | 65.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:05 | 0.44 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.09 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.08 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.05 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.01 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:51 | 0.00 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.06 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:18 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:17 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:17 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.36 | −0.6 | 58:01 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:34 | 0.26 | 52.8% | +11.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 6 | 22:03 | 0.32 | 34.5% | +22.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 5 | 21:36 | 0.78 | 41.6% | +61.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.00 | 31.3% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 20:48 | 0.13 | 47.2% | +49.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.21 | 9.7% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.05 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.01 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.01 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:21 | 0.77 | 44.3% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.38 | 58.4% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.38 | 59.5% | +7.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.24 | 54.9% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.08 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:49 | 0.15 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:49 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.66 | −0.3 | 59:37 |