Sun, Nov 9, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Utah Mammoth 2, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 62% of the time.
30%
8%
9%
53%
OTT winsUTA wins
Utah Mammoth
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:07 | 0.16 | 41.6% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:21 | 0.11 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.14 | 50.5% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:43 | 0.36 | 52.3% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:33 | 0.63 | 51.4% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.10 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:08 | 0.12 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.01 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.16 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:53 | 0.45 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.21 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 45.2% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.21 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.21 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 11:53 | 0.29 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.14 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 10:11 | 0.07 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:19 | 0.02 | 69.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.39 | −1.6 | 57:14 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.02 | 56.5% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:00 | 0.30 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.09 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:01 | 0.20 | 49.6% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.46 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.17 | 47.8% | +31.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.13 | 57.6% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:13 | 0.21 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.21 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.02 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.11 | 42.9% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.07 | 46.5% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.23 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:59 | 0.36 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:00 | 0.18 | 44.9% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:55 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.40 | +1.4 | 60:00 |